NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacea8032e1478b10d15cf4d5226871354db55a6672dbb9319793a237e3ed77d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,005,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,005,307 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 455 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Warriors | 52c | 146,592$76,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,227.71 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Warriors | 52c | 141,253$73,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,451.4 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa729…9326backed Timberwolves | 49c | 80,485$39,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,047.19 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd64…7445backed Warriors | 51c | 48,573$24,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,772.23 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Timberwolves | 48c | 41,000$19,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,420 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Warriors | 53c | 37,277$19,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,756.63 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Warriors | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…b730backed Timberwolves | 47c | 30,000$14,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,900 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Warriors | 53c | 27,277$14,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,456.81 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Warriors | 50c | 24,157$12,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,078.5 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 23,180$11,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,134.67 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Timberwolves | 48c | 21,659$10,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,370 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Timberwolves | 48c | 20,512$9,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,666.24 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Timberwolves | 48c | 20,455$9,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,636.62 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…78aebacked Timberwolves | 49c | 19,308$9,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,873.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Timberwolves | 50c | 19,200$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 19,005$9,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,610.67 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Warriors | 52c | 17,328$9,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,010.51 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Timberwolves | 48c | 16,970$8,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,824.4 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 16,484$8,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,460.36 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Warriors | 51c | 15,500$7,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,859.94 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Warriors | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Timberwolves | 49c | 14,104$6,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,254.17 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Timberwolves | 47c | 13,473$6,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,140.69 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Timberwolves | 50c | 11,928$5,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,012.7 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2148…3f30backed Timberwolves | 49c | 11,708$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,008.33 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Timberwolves | 48c | 11,345$5,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,899.4 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 11,305$5,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,913.75 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Timberwolves | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 47c | 9,981$4,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,307.1 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 9,813$4,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,016.94 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Warriors | 0c | 9,200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Warriors | 52c | 9,054$4,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,704.49 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Timberwolves | 47c | 9,019$4,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,763.06 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Timberwolves | 47c | 8,429$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,429.46 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Warriors | 54c | 8,247$4,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,413.33 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Timberwolves | 46c | 7,838$3,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,202.86 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Timberwolves | 49c | 7,049$3,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,622.98 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Timberwolves | 50c | 6,840$3,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,449.35 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 6,273$2,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.53 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6f…b5f6backed Timberwolves | 49c | 6,143$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,132.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Timberwolves | 48c | 6,107$2,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,175.43 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53b4…71d9backed Timberwolves | 49c | 5,856$2,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,986.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Timberwolves | 47c | 5,648$2,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,014.27 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ff…72b3backed Warriors | 51c | 5,551$2,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,831.01 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 5,342$2,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,831.07 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 5,279$2,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,733.78 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Timberwolves | 48c | 5,227$2,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,717.87 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9897…503cbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 5,065$2,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,583.15 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…9e41backed Timberwolves | 49c | 5,061$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,581.11 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Warriors | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Timberwolves | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Warriors | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x342f…dbc0backed Timberwolves | 49c | 4,989$2,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,544.39 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…7eeabacked Timberwolves | 49c | 4,951$2,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,525.01 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ef…9135backed Warriors | 51c | 4,898$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,497.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa988…1e4bbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 4,882$2,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,489.82 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…4448backed Timberwolves | 49c | 4,822$2,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.22 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6e…b63fbacked Warriors | 51c | 4,810$2,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f14…6ee3backed Timberwolves | 49c | 4,808$2,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,452.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…fa92backed Timberwolves | 50c | 4,800$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b8…e630backed Timberwolves | 49c | 4,796$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,445.96 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe042…386abacked Timberwolves | 49c | 4,768$2,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,431.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7db…7b38backed Timberwolves | 49c | 4,735$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,414.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc9…2ef2backed Warriors | 51c | 4,723$2,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,408.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd733…7a6ebacked Timberwolves | 49c | 4,722$2,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,408.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…9c57backed Warriors | 51c | 4,715$2,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,404.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e45…9844backed Timberwolves | 49c | 4,669$2,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,381.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab73…3763backed Timberwolves | 49c | 4,640$2,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,366.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +39%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee9b…68c5backed Timberwolves | 49c | 4,623$2,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…d96abacked Warriors | 51c | 4,618$2,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051f…efd3backed Timberwolves | 50c | 4,600$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34ea…513fbacked Warriors | 51c | 4,584$2,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,337.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…4064backed Timberwolves | 49c | 4,553$2,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,322.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc574…dacdbacked Warriors | 51c | 4,549$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Timberwolves | 44c | 4,528$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,517.44 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae95…3720backed Warriors | 51c | 4,514$2,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,302.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…00f6backed Warriors | 51c | 4,490$2,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,289.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x910c…4cb2backed Warriors | 51c | 4,480$2,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,284.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f73…4692backed Warriors | 51c | 4,477$2,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,283.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dab…4c61backed Warriors | 51c | 4,457$2,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,273.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd8…e5dbbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 4,456$2,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,272.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Timberwolves | 48c | 4,433$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,305.33 | 173 | 44.5%77 W · 96 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdc…d4fbbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 4,410$2,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f3…3aecbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 4,401$2,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,244.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…4315backed Warriors | 51c | 4,390$2,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,238.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Warriors | 53c | 4,381$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300.4 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0d…1154backed Timberwolves | 49c | 4,363$2,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1664…8030backed Timberwolves | 49c | 4,317$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52cd…516ebacked Warriors | 51c | 4,314$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…d3a8backed Timberwolves | 49c | 4,310$2,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc21a…d002backed Warriors | 51c | 4,287$2,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,186.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf199…2f89backed Warriors | 51c | 4,276$2,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,180.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f7…cc90backed Warriors | 51c | 4,270$2,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,177.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…41d7backed Warriors | 51c | 4,244$2,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,164.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcf…fdebbacked Warriors | 51c | 4,244$2,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,164.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…16f9backed Warriors | 51c | 4,237$2,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed Timberwolves | 48c | 4,233$2,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.33 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x694b…0311backed Warriors | 51c | 4,200$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,142 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Timberwolves | 50c | 4,200$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- De'Anthony Melton: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. WarriorsTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 222.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.