NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa79be618e201d8913569e4ae2ce4e46a5ee123da86bcfad12ca72e813ffd094a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,033
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,033 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e9b…945abacked Under | 51c | 35,033$17,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,912.29 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Under | 53c | 27,379$14,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,492.81 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 23,953$11,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,484.98 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 52c | 20,000$10,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,615.68 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 18,012$8,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,128.24 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 47c | 16,074$7,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,503.79 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 48c | 12,500$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.98 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Under | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 5,743$2,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,756.64 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 52c | 5,600$2,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,688 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 52c | 5,044$2,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,421.12 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Over | 16c | 3,999$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,359.16 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 3,600$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.49 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 49c | 2,800$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.47 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc167…51b0backed Over | 49c | 2,219$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Under | 50c | 1,863$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.16 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 51c | 1,527$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.64 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 80c | 1,230$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.85 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 1,005$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.6 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 51c | 999.98$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.99 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc6…85f2backed Under | 52c | 900$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5618…f2c0backed Over | 48c | 900$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Over | 51c | 832.57$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.96 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…4d2dbacked Under | 49c | 810.2$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 51c | 700$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Over | 50c | 599.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.13 | 138 | 35.5%49 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed Over | 52c | 563.58$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.52 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Over | 51c | 505.65$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.77 | 405 | 41%166 W · 239 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 450$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.84 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Under | 50c | 402.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 385.79$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.3 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1277backed Over | 15c | 380.05$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.64 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 11cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Under | 50c | 375$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.42 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Over | 47c | 374$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.47 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over | 51c | 325.53$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.51 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1071…e39ebacked Over | 16c | 300$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d6…be17backed Over | 51c | 297$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.53 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Under | 48c | 267.91$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.59 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Under | 49c | 227.27$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.36 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Under | 50c | 216.46$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.23 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…0458backed Over | 52c | 214.19$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.81 | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 258 | 46.9%121 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba3…9a44backed Over | 16c | 200$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Over | 44c | 197.57$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Over | 51c | 185.02$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.66 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac94…e414backed Under | 48c | 148.81$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.43 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…22b8backed Over | 51c | 137.24$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Under | 49c | 122.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe9…dc0abacked Over | 51c | 117.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.9 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 41c | 106.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.27 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Over | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 6cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Over | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…ab48backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7492…6568backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 319 | 55.2%176 W · 143 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 51c | 89.53$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.66 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 52c | 87.86$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 52c | 85.05$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae9d…d417backed Under | 51c | 84.31$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Over | 22c | 80$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +28.6wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Over | 20c | 80$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.9 | 266 | 39.8%106 W · 160 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Under | 51c | 78.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 48c | 78.32$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…1968backed Under | 49c | 73.46$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 47c | 69.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 51c | 62.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 48c | 60.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4694…b6b2backed Under | 50c | 60.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584c…0da9backed Under | 50c | 58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c6…dcacbacked Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 51c | 57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Over | 54c | 49.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 188 | 35.1%66 W · 122 L | +24.5wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 49c | 42.87$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7a…aff2backed Over | 52c | 42.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 51c | 40.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 40.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9985…dad8backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Over | 52c | 37.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 51c | 37.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ff…55f2backed Over | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 49c | 30.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 405 | 48.6%197 W · 208 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b3…52debacked Over | 49c | 29.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Under | 47c | 29.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 50c | 27.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Over | 52c | 25.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…9aa2backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Over | 61c | 24.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f2…8cc5backed Over | 52c | 24.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- De'Anthony Melton: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. WarriorsTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 222.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.