NBA · resolved market

Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa793f3aac6bc2f4849d16c4ec85ae29635f7884f9bfb75691aa2b9283de0b8c8

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $93,128

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,128 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Under	57c	43,844$25,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,000	365	49.6%181 W · 184 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	44c	18,662$8,260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,402.17	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over	45c	12,705$5,654 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,050.1	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over	45c	4,793$2,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,643.61	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over	42c	4,310$1,808 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,501.49	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Under	54c	3,905$2,109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,108.58	1,204	55.3%666 W · 538 L	+52.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc920…7914backed Over	47c	2,464$1,146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,318.13	86	48.8%42 W · 44 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	43c	2,303$985 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,317.76	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	56c	1,967$1,104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$863.16	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	44c	1,677$743 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$933.48	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa83b…0e4abacked Over	73c	1,676$1,221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$454.83	70	50%35 W · 35 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under	52c	1,564$813 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$813	507	54.2%275 W · 232 L	+13.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over	39c	1,500$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$910	1,911	45.4%868 W · 1,043 L	+22.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over	42c	1,333$560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$773.14	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Under	54c	1,250$675 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$675	261	49.4%129 W · 132 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under	55c	1,104$604 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$604.02	382	53.4%204 W · 178 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over	42c	1,042$438 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$604.51	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Over	46c	921.74$424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$497.74	241	51.9%125 W · 116 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	27c	720.6$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.33	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd36…6ec9backed Over	48c	718.48$345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$373.61	50	44%22 W · 28 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Over	43c	589.09$253 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$335.7	138	35.5%49 W · 89 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	53c	575$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.75	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	43c	566.54$246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$320.86	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Under	55c	540.85$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.03	212	50.5%107 W · 105 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under	54c	463.62$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.35	806	53.6%432 W · 374 L	+16.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over	45c	315$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.75	348	51.7%180 W · 168 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Over	44c	200$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113	224	53.1%119 W · 105 L	+29.4wins	+0.13per pick	40cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under	54c	200$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	841	50.3%423 W · 418 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under	45c	200$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	775	49.2%381 W · 394 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Under	24c	200$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	487	51.7%252 W · 235 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd8bd…463dbacked Under	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	382	61.5%235 W · 147 L	+30.8wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb6e7…884cbacked Under	53c	175.31$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.91	163	38.7%63 W · 100 L	-11.4wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under	56c	169.17$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.09	1,197	48.9%585 W · 612 L	-14.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over	45c	169.08$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.62	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed Over	78c	143$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.46	104	48.1%50 W · 54 L	-7.3wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over	45c	135.32$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.73	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under	37c	132.78$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.51	3,551	46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c03…1c9fbacked Over	45c	109.98$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.59	155	44.5%69 W · 86 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x10b2…4cebbacked Over	45c	105$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.75	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over	41c	100$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over	44c	100$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56	786	48.7%383 W · 403 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under	56c	89.28$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2,602	50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L	-20.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Over	57c	87.72$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.72	78	57.7%45 W · 33 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Under	45c	86.82$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.77	140	47.1%66 W · 74 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	45c	84$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.85	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over	48c	83.51$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.51	554	44.4%246 W · 308 L	-11.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over	64c	82.73$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.65	1,554	37.3%579 W · 975 L	-48.1wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under	40c	78.4$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.36	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over	65c	78.26$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.04	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over	45c	76.42$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.03	609	45.8%279 W · 330 L	-17.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	46c	75.65$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.85	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Over	47c	72.92$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.65	308	45.8%141 W · 167 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2599…9218backed Over	70c	71.19$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.19	117	61.5%72 W · 45 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba49…e8acbacked Under	30c	61.13$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.16	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under	37c	60.84$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.31	1,532	42.5%651 W · 881 L	-17.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49a8…b182backed Under	57c	52.63$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over	48c	50.45$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.2	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Over	47c	49.98$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.49	693	37.8%262 W · 431 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Over	48c	41.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.67	270	50%135 W · 135 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Under	56c	36.87$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.65	78	43.6%34 W · 44 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over	45c	36.57$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.12	553	47.9%265 W · 288 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over	48c	36.31$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.88	661	43.4%287 W · 374 L	-32.6wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4f8…2869backed Over	70c	35.71$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.71	174	59.2%103 W · 71 L	+7.6wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under	55c	35.4$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.47	525	52%273 W · 252 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over	44c	31$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.36	545	49.5%270 W · 275 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67b1…63ecbacked Over	56c	31$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.64	93	34.4%32 W · 61 L	-11.4wins	-0.12per pick	47cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over	47c	30.95$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.4	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c05…639ebacked Over	49c	30.67$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.67	84	52.4%44 W · 40 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under	45c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Over	47c	27.64$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.55	378	42.9%162 W · 216 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	47c	27.31$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.47	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over	63c	26.59$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.81	903	57%515 W · 388 L	+40.0wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Over	68c	24.55$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.92	149	31.5%47 W · 102 L	-18.4wins	-0.12per pick	44cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf10e…4c13backed Over	49c	23.31$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.91	209	49.3%103 W · 106 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under	56c	17.86$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	917	46.9%430 W · 487 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5this page
1H Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Timberwolves won
Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5No won
De'Anthony Melton: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 10.5No won
Julius Randle: Points O/U 17.5No won
Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Timberwolves won
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Timberwolves won
Timberwolves vs. WarriorsTimberwolves won
Timberwolves vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
Timberwolves vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 222.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event