NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bdaa5093741c4c44a5b84b5233de4dba4339e761a89cf2128d0e1c40c7df023
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Timberwolves, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,558,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,558,677 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,625 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Warriors | 33c | 478,215$159,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159,932.41 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Warriors | 34c | 341,624$114,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114,722.01 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a0…9a09backed Timberwolves | 65c | 239,235$155,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,732.24 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Timberwolves | 66c | 225,817$149,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,060.05 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Warriors | 37c | 174,571$64,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,385.95 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Warriors | 35c | 150,000$52,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,500 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Warriors | 32c | 143,872$46,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,099.52 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Timberwolves | 70c | 143,205$99,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,589.31 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe749…f660backed Timberwolves | 66c | 142,943$94,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,968.54 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a57…2afabacked Warriors | 36c | 138,000$49,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,680 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Timberwolves | 64c | 127,239$81,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,805.96 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves | 67c | 103,110$69,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,885.32 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa491…3177backed Timberwolves | 67c | 99,999$66,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,000.37 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Warriors | 29c | 86,999$25,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,386.17 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Warriors | 33c | 80,000$26,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,399.99 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timberwolves | 64c | 77,372$49,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,758.84 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Timberwolves | 68c | 75,000$51,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,999.98 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Warriors | 34c | 68,882$23,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,661.07 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Timberwolves | 63c | 66,078$41,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,448.91 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Timberwolves | 67c | 61,000$40,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,130 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Timberwolves | 67c | 60,334$40,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,910.21 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Timberwolves | 66c | 58,055$38,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,885.13 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Warriors | 0c | 55,130$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.34 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Timberwolves | 70c | 47,466$33,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,441.49 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Warriors | 34c | 42,490$14,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,446.58 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Warriors | 36c | 42,000$15,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,120 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec8…50f7backed Timberwolves | 69c | 41,204$28,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,936.03 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf58…1deabacked Warriors | 1c | 35,546$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…1aa9backed Timberwolves | 68c | 32,143$21,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,285.76 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Warriors | 32c | 30,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Warriors | 30c | 30,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,999.99 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Warriors | 35c | 29,273$10,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,127.93 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 28,600$18,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,051.55 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Warriors | 1c | 27,524$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.86 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 27,209$17,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,523.13 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Timberwolves | 76c | 25,554$19,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,121.94 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Timberwolves | 66c | 24,102$15,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,258.07 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Warriors | 17c | 23,649$4,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,057.94 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Timberwolves | 67c | 23,118$15,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,711.54 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Warriors | 33c | 22,690$7,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,487.84 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc6…9df6backed Timberwolves | 69c | 21,833$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,832.69 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.0wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Timberwolves | 66c | 20,343$13,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,913.61 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Warriors | 33c | 20,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,599.99 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Warriors | 33c | 19,864$6,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,586.63 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Warriors | 19c | 19,767$3,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,754.68 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Timberwolves | 64c | 19,460$12,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,951.7 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…f73cbacked Warriors | 36c | 18,823$6,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,776.3 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7595…50ffbacked Warriors | 14c | 18,423$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Warriors | 35c | 18,390$6,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,436.53 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e9…4044backed Timberwolves | 67c | 18,187$12,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,001.75 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb187…bbe1backed Timberwolves | 65c | 16,955$11,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,862.9 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 66c | 16,542$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,542.82 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1d…3846backed Warriors | 32c | 16,500$5,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,279.97 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…f355backed Timberwolves | 68c | 16,500$11,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,279.96 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Timberwolves | 71c | 15,640$11,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,598.77 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Warriors | 35c | 15,563$5,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,445.01 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Timberwolves | 67c | 15,110$10,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,986.3 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Timberwolves | 67c | 15,040$10,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,890.22 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb5…3fbfbacked Timberwolves | 66c | 15,000$9,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.98 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0441…b3aabacked Timberwolves | 68c | 14,700$9,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,704 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f04…73d5backed Warriors | 32c | 14,700$4,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,703.98 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Timberwolves | 80c | 14,581$11,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,924.14 | 626 | 52.2%327 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Warriors | 33c | 14,000$4,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,587.06 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa45d…b413backed Timberwolves | 67c | 13,691$9,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,518 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51c0…f301backed Timberwolves | 67c | 13,161$8,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,343.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f2…d54bbacked Timberwolves | 67c | 13,161$8,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,343.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Warriors | 35c | 12,482$4,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,367.11 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab44…d88ebacked Warriors | 30c | 12,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…f2dabacked Warriors | 13c | 11,995$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Warriors | 31c | 11,920$3,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,695.32 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Warriors | 32c | 11,666$3,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,752.59 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Warriors | 35c | 11,509$4,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,015.05 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Timberwolves | 66c | 11,250$7,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,859.75 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Warriors | 15c | 11,250$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.2 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Timberwolves | 65c | 11,168$7,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,859.48 | 272 | 47.1%128 W · 144 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…9134backed Warriors | 34c | 10,816$3,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,677.33 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Warriors | 32c | 10,798$3,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,494.36 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6431…ab69backed Timberwolves | 64c | 10,402$6,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,744.54 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Timberwolves | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…3b1dbacked Warriors | 34c | 10,000$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,419.99 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x81f0…cbb1backed Timberwolves | 68c | 9,907$6,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,170.11 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Warriors | 28c | 9,898$2,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,771.33 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e0…4b62backed Timberwolves | 69c | 9,416$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,916.23 | 527 | 60%316 W · 211 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Warriors | 9c | 9,398$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.1 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Timberwolves | 78c | 9,333$7,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,056.25 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Warriors | 19c | 9,178$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.74 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Timberwolves | 65c | 9,001$5,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,147.08 | 852 | 48.9%417 W · 435 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7afa…3f6dbacked Timberwolves | 66c | 8,875$5,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,017.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd472…cc7cbacked Warriors | 34c | 8,850$3,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,024.5 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Timberwolves | 71c | 8,839$6,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.43 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Warriors | 34c | 8,208$2,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,790.57 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Timberwolves | 67c | 8,082$5,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,667.83 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Warriors | 33c | 8,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.96 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Timberwolves | 69c | 7,951$5,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,464.76 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Timberwolves | 67c | 7,500$5,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…cb97backed Timberwolves | 66c | 7,464$4,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,505.87 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Timberwolves | 67c | 7,219$4,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,416.31 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba9…0516backed Warriors | 4c | 7,100$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.9 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…1f2ebacked Warriors | 32c | 7,088$2,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,268 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Timberwolves | 67c | 6,991$4,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.04 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Warriorsthis page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- De'Anthony Melton: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 222.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.