NBA · resolved market
Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb07dff86f36f6b2a3faf11c8dfe41e53201dc32b21fe7b58416205062d4d3d8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,360 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked No | 67c | 527.45$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.49 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ebd…21cdbacked Yes | 23c | 477.71$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.71 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 64c | 400$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Yes | 36c | 394.16$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.32 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeab…6006backed Yes | 29c | 331.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 63c | 326.54$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.26 | 138 | 35.5%49 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4672…2c3bbacked Yes | 34c | 253.54$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +197.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31c…7370backed Yes | 29c | 245.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa413…1fe0backed No | 68c | 233.72$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.59 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 64c | 231.41$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.61 | 908 | 63.9%580 W · 328 L | +80.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd94a…4786backed Yes | 49c | 224.92$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.92 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3c…3206backed Yes | 29c | 188.93$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.93 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2691…f3b8backed Yes | 38c | 175.27$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.27 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5b…b58bbacked Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 74c | 109.66$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Yes | 21c | 106.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.07 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 369 | 54.7%202 W · 167 L | +28.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 69c | 99.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.02 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…f39cbacked No | 71c | 86.89$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 270 | 59.6%161 W · 109 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…c1d3backed No | 67c | 84.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 227 | 74.4%169 W · 58 L | +22.5wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked No | 67c | 78.49$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f9…cfd8backed Yes | 33c | 76.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4066…e3c3backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 90 | 31.1%28 W · 62 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed No | 64c | 68.02$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…756dbacked Yes | 28c | 53.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed No | 67c | 46.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 92 | 67.4%62 W · 30 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed No | 69c | 38.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed No | 73c | 23.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked No | 64c | 16.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 462 | 55.6%257 W · 205 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 9.5this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- De'Anthony Melton: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. WarriorsTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 222.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.