NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc610d01303fa8a96d8f00609ab8ca0b2d27461b86f3bbce08ba0d894812e7961
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,811
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,811 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x73ca…8ac1backed Under | 57c | 9,081$5,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,175.91 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf527…ae46backed Under | 57c | 5,844$3,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,331.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x474a…edb8backed Over | 43c | 5,665$2,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,229.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3f…204ebacked Over | 43c | 5,662$2,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,227.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…bc12backed Over | 43c | 5,539$2,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,157.23 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb27a…7005backed Under | 57c | 5,458$3,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,111.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8860…2964backed Over | 43c | 5,432$2,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,096.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…8fcbbacked Over | 43c | 5,088$2,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900.16 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a46…1d4fbacked Over | 43c | 5,058$2,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,883.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8196…054fbacked Over | 43c | 4,965$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,830.05 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe94a…7ec3backed Over | 43c | 4,760$2,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,713.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +47%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b53…ce60backed Over | 43c | 4,751$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,708.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aab…9dfebacked Over | 43c | 4,744$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,704.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…ff35backed Over | 43c | 4,609$1,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,627.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e2…0788backed Over | 43c | 4,549$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,592.93 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…fa1bbacked Over | 43c | 4,498$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,563.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb2…71d7backed Under | 57c | 4,377$2,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f66…ea74backed Under | 57c | 4,347$2,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,477.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4694…2d69backed Under | 57c | 4,334$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…6c02backed Under | 57c | 4,165$2,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,374.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…3d05backed Over | 43c | 4,089$1,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,330.73 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe106…ac3fbacked Under | 57c | 4,053$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…0d57backed Under | 57c | 4,049$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,307.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8e…02e5backed Under | 57c | 4,007$2,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,283.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bd…52f5backed Over | 43c | 3,957$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.72 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…0dddbacked Under | 57c | 3,922$2,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,235.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79b…b198backed Over | 43c | 3,905$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +47%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…858cbacked Over | 43c | 3,830$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd25…514ebacked Under | 57c | 3,826$2,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,180.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…ca52backed Under | 57c | 3,810$2,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,171.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5e…0546backed Under | 57c | 3,701$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,109.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Over | 55c | 3,640$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.43 | 172 | 46.5%80 W · 92 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd2…ac58backed Under | 57c | 3,539$2,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,017.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f5…7d98backed Under | 57c | 3,360$1,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe730…b88fbacked Under | 57c | 3,356$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba74…468bbacked Over | 43c | 3,352$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d9…bfa8backed Over | 43c | 3,323$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bac…9babbacked Under | 57c | 3,309$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,886.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…fc5abacked Under | 57c | 3,197$1,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,822.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ba…84ccbacked Over | 43c | 3,175$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36e2…187bbacked Over | 43c | 3,005$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd29…50b0backed Under | 57c | 2,984$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf72f…685cbacked Under | 57c | 2,910$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b6…1110backed Under | 57c | 2,898$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7d…68e4backed Under | 57c | 2,841$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1315…eac6backed Over | 43c | 2,802$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +69%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2854…d8e3backed Over | 43c | 2,784$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…7985backed Under | 57c | 2,649$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…0d91backed Over | 43c | 2,625$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc287…806ebacked Over | 43c | 2,545$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…7abfbacked Under | 57c | 2,518$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…2a9abacked Under | 57c | 2,446$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5da1…a679backed Under | 57c | 2,223$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 46c | 2,176$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeda…e34bbacked Under | 57c | 2,055$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2088…803cbacked Under | 57c | 1,909$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9261…a2c4backed Over | 43c | 1,607$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…da57backed Over | 43c | 1,484$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc377…06cdbacked Over | 43c | 1,458$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…008fbacked Under | 57c | 1,302$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe61…d44dbacked Under | 57c | 1,252$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 43c | 980.06$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.43 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 53c | 909$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.32 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Under | 58c | 471.69$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.94 | 138 | 35.5%49 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 469.66$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.43 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Under | 54c | 416.67$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 42c | 283.67$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.67 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Over | 47c | 242.47$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.27 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…b4f9backed Over | 43c | 213.4$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 49c | 204.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 58c | 200.8$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.24 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…231fbacked Over | 43c | 186.6$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Under | 61c | 175.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.15 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…d9f3backed Under | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 49c | 121.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.32 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 56c | 117.77$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.62 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.5 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…ec19backed Under | 61c | 82.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 61c | 81.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x855c…fa95backed Over | 44c | 81.09$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.48 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Over | 45c | 79.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.82 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 39c | 68.87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.01 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 44c | 68.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.34 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee82…1965backed Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +10.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Under | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 479 | 48.6%233 W · 246 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 57c | 47.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c3…5ac7backed Over | 42c | 47.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4694…b6b2backed Over | 42c | 47.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…038ebacked Over | 39c | 46.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 61c | 45.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 44c | 44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 38c | 39.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 49c | 39.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 50c | 35.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…185bbacked Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 292 | 47.9%140 W · 152 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 60c | 34.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 60c | 31.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- De'Anthony Melton: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. WarriorsTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 222.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.