NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2fecbfdb47aa4b589a5185260fa0b366d2906a93f3c792bd90771645a05c719
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $156,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,441 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 52c | 53,227$27,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,646.72 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 48c | 15,204$7,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,908.83 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 14,082$6,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,426.7 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 11,827$5,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,229.43 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Over | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,416.67 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Over | 48c | 8,641$4,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,493.52 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 53c | 8,302$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 48c | 7,995$3,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,135.53 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 46c | 5,797$2,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,130.38 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 48c | 5,777$2,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,993.64 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Under | 52c | 5,303$2,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,757.76 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed Over | 50c | 5,209$2,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,598.72 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 52c | 4,028$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x625d…68f2backed Over | 48c | 2,443$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Under | 51c | 2,407$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.46 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 51c | 2,258$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.58 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 47c | 2,006$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.23 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 2,005$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.39 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked Over | 46c | 1,870$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.8 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Under | 52c | 1,712$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.33 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Under | 52c | 1,687$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.23 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 52c | 1,667$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.84 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Under | 53c | 1,502$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.75 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed Under | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f95…b08bbacked Under | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Under | 43c | 1,272$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.4 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Under | 51c | 1,250$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.47 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Under | 53c | 1,134$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Under | 53c | 945$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.85 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Under | 53c | 533.97$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.16 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 51c | 521.26$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.18 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Under | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 53c | 435.18$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.09 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 395.88$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.64 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 48c | 388.75$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.15 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 47c | 380.5$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.4 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Over | 48c | 314.72$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.72 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Under | 52c | 311.2$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.82 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Over | 48c | 308.03$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.18 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…1968backed Under | 53c | 305.35$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.7 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x190f…01f3backed Under | 53c | 303$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.59 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Over | 48c | 250.32$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.12 | 234 | 46.2%108 W · 126 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Under | 53c | 233.05$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.52 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Under | 53c | 230.48$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.7 | 138 | 35.5%49 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 59c | 217.11$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.02 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under | 52c | 212.88$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.7 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Under | 53c | 209.62$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.31 | 313 | 54.6%171 W · 142 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 144 | 66%95 W · 49 L | +17.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 53c | 182.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.93 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Over | 47c | 170.91$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.58 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 49c | 154.42$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.77 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 52c | 152.08$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.08 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…fd8fbacked Over | 48c | 152.08$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.08 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 48c | 143.47$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.61 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 51c | 138.73$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.75 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 47c | 130$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Under | 53c | 112.67$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.19 | 251 | 53.8%135 W · 116 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 40c | 110.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…ec19backed Under | 49c | 110.07$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…9e20backed Under | 52c | 107.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.81 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…cddcbacked Over | 49c | 102.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.31 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a7…7916backed Over | 46c | 101.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 228 | 50.9%116 W · 112 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ba…882abacked Under | 51c | 99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d82…e16abacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 14c | 94.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 188 | 35.1%66 W · 122 L | +24.5wins | +0.13per pick | 22cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…4c18backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Under | 52c | 92.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…0031backed Under | 53c | 88.45$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 306 | 54.6%167 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Over | 47c | 87.3$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.27 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4e…417cbacked Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe23…e72bbacked Under | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed Under | 53c | 77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 227 | 48.9%111 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4360…6df8backed Under | 52c | 76.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9401…38cbbacked Over | 48c | 74.79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…87eabacked Under | 54c | 74.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 478 | 52.9%253 W · 225 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Under | 52c | 70.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0339…1394backed Under | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…8506backed Over | 48c | 63.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 49c | 58.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d15…8026backed Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x409b…21e8backed Under | 52c | 57.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 258 | 55.8%144 W · 114 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41c0…9d61backed Under | 52c | 57.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20a9…5a67backed Under | 53c | 56.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x584c…0da9backed Under | 52c | 54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…8663backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 48c | 52.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ab…f338backed Under | 53c | 52.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 273 | 50.2%137 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…2a41backed Under | 54c | 50.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 229 | 53.3%122 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…b8ffbacked Under | 50c | 49.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -8.0wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeac9…4092backed Under | 53c | 49.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 48c | 48.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Over | 48c | 47.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 200 | 49%98 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…62cbbacked Under | 53c | 46.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +17.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Timberwolves won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 27.5Yes won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- De'Anthony Melton: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Kristaps Porzingis: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)Timberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. WarriorsTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineTimberwolves won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 222.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 223.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 226.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 228.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.