TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3637…8663

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
251
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5442.6%23 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+495.2%+$71.81
Lamine Yamal: 3+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$27.08
Dani Olmo: 2+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.58
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Anthony Gordon: 2+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+239%+$57.36
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+263.6%+$79.09
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Lamine Yamal: 4+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Luis Díaz: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+128.6%+$50.17
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Michael Olise: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Canada vs. Morocco: Canada O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$33.1
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$67.59
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$36.88
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT4544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: SK (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)backed SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.48
LoL: SK Gaming vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.38
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
LoL: Shifters vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$34.07
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$34.35
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Game Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Team Heretics (+1.5)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.54
LoL: GIANTX iTero vs LUA Gaming (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked LUA Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
LoL: GIANTX vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)backed Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$17.33
LoL: Barça eSports vs GIANTX iTero (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$18.67
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$30.56
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.88
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
LoL: MIBR.LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+150%+$33
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)backed LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$21.86
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+1.5)backed LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$33.14
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT3435.3%12 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-24.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+182.5%+$45.62
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$14.4
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$23.46
Will Atlanta Hawks advance to the Conference Semifinals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.69
Will Charlotte Hornets advance in the 2026 NBA Play-In Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.44
Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.28
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.52
Timberwolves vs. Magic: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$24.85
Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.55
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.41
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.6
Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$28.19
Spread: Heat (-6.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+100.4%+$10.54
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Knicks vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+23.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+96.9%+$11.33
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.35
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.13
AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.47
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.41
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$14.26
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.94
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.7
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.9
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+122.2%+$18.33
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+113.6%+$17.04
Brentford FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+108.3%+$16.25
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+127.3%+$26.54
All 20 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$23.46
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$10.93
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.51
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.41
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.45
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$13.95
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$7.29
Will Juventus advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+104.1%+$15.3
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$11.12
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+37.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$32.85
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Fery (+2.5)backed Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$21.13
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$17.69
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jongbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$24.36
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Mexican Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Mexican Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Flavio Cobollibacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Mexican Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Terence Atmanebacked Miomir Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Mexican Open: Alexander Zverev vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+400%+$40
Mexican Open: Terence Atmane vs Rafael Jodarbacked Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+212.5%+$21.25
Mexican Open: Rafael Jodar vs Cameron Norriebacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 14 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.21
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$36
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will CF América win on 2026-07-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$26.11
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$42.69
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.4
Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-1.5)backed Deportivo Toluca FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-1.5)backed Deportivo Toluca FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16.25
Tigres de la UANL vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$15.79
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Club Puebla vs. Pumas de la UNAM: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 14 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+23.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.2
Will AEK win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$11.57
Will AZ win on 2026-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.31
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.81
Will Celta reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.34
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$19.63
Will AZ win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$24
RC Celta de Vigo vs. PAOK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10.06
PAOK vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+150%+$15.6
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$32.65
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.79
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.13
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+100%+$17
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+81.8%+$12.52
Elche CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+72.4%+$10.86
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick16cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-61.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+75.4%+$10.03
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
La Velada del Año 6: Samy Rivers vs RoRobacked Samy Rivers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
La Velada del Año 6: Viruzz vs Gero Ariasbacked Gero Arias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$15.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.36
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.