South American Leagues · resolved market
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f33f52154b91c5e18071cd7b148ea3217bdbdabc00fd765bc6a0798e9561bf4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $400,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $401,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $400,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 60c | 340,691$203,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137,404.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 40c | 160,810$64,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,323.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Over | 41c | 60,000$24,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,300 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.34per pick | 56cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 41c | 50,195$20,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,744.21 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Over | 40c | 20,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 38c | 9,171$3,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,488.98 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 43c | 7,200$3,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,096 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Over | 43c | 6,585$2,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,831.53 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 39c | 5,389$2,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,087.19 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.30per pick | 42cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Over | 44c | 3,250$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.89 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Over | 43c | 3,195$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Under | 59c | 2,358$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Over | 43c | 2,333$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Over | 43c | 2,306$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.43 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Over | 43c | 1,869$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.8 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 43c | 1,398$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.48 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 43c | 1,265$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.95 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 42c | 1,251$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.49 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 43c | 902.2$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.94 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…5a30backed Over | 43c | 824.19$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.58 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf499…5543backed Over | 31c | 517.09$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked Under | 78c | 298.32$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 42c | 249.74$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.89 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 41c | 236.06$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.73 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 43c | 231.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…3896backed Under | 57c | 226.72$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.72 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 29c | 209.1$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.66 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3f…8cd6backed Under | 57c | 185.22$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…e8b4backed Under | 59c | 175.85$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.55 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…3ab9backed Under | 59c | 169.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x201b…9146backed Under | 70c | 156.8$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x313c…61d9backed Over | 10c | 150.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 42c | 149.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3771…3eeebacked Under | 57c | 142.74$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.81 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 22c | 133.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 64c | 133.12$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…9815backed Over | 40c | 112.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 39c | 106.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.32 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Under | 59c | 85.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 38c | 82.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Under | 68c | 79.52$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Over | 43c | 79.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f61…4e52backed Under | 58c | 68.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 41c | 66.14$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe537…4b28backed Under | 68c | 54.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Over | 42c | 54.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0d…9f26backed Under | 63c | 51.74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27a…ddb9backed Over | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Over | 36c | 49.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 43c | 49.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfad3…0a3abacked Under | 59c | 47.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…8663backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…46b8backed Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…d8ffbacked Over | 42c | 37.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…80d2backed Over | 43c | 34.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd430…78b8backed Under | 63c | 31.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Under | 56c | 31.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe40c…2477backed Over | 44c | 28.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6fc…07e3backed Over | 43c | 26.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Over | 43c | 26.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dca…c4fdbacked Over | 45c | 26.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd8…553cbacked Under | 61c | 24.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Under | 58c | 24.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7536…26a0backed Over | 43c | 23.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5afa…3dd1backed Under | 61c | 20.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…fdcdbacked Under | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9284…1e52backed Under | 78c | 14.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 3.5this page
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Tijuana: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 1.5Under won
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 2.5Under won
- Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.