TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x201b…9146

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+270.4%+$50.48
Will CA Rosario Central vs. CA Barracas Central end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+69.8%+$7.35
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$24.01
FC Juárez vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5.42
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$23.99
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+43.9%+$47.8
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-02-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$51.66
Will CA Unión win on 2026-02-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+53.8%+$38.7
CA Unión vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+31.6%+$15.79
CA Independiente vs. CA Lanús: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+215.6%+$47.02
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.53
Will Santos FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$18.92
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-69.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+37.7%+$4.34
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$16.12
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$88.19
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FaZe (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$15.95
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+35.3%+$8.8
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$17.91
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$34.14
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$38.23
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$58.62
All 9 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+78.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-70.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+20.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+105.3%+$18.13
Perth Glory FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+90.4%+$62.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+88.3%+$19.91
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+44.9%+$22.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+76.8%+$16.4
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Colorado Rapids SC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+104.1%+$27.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11.31
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.