TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$516,683
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$518,155

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $516,683 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under50c438,317$217,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220,556.25862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Over50c137,098$68,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,548.791650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over50c116,913$58,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,456.33728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-39.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over51c41,752$21,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,445.25,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Over50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,000862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Over51c19,795$10,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,095.453167.7%21 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3ea…0637backed Over51c16,960$8,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,649.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over62c12,159$7,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,570.378,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over51c10,300$5,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,239.822,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over51c10,209$5,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,234.573,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Over50c8,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0001866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over51c7,823$3,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,989.962828.6%8 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over51c5,714$2,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,914.076055%33 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over54c4,706$2,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,552.9629747.1%140 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001612.5%2 W · 14 L-4.8wins-0.30per pick42cpaid-79.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over51c3,311$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,689.8437851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over65c2,950$1,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,917.4912940.3%52 W · 77 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Over51c2,000$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,010333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-30.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Over51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-51.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over51c1,494$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.2681740.8%333 W · 484 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over51c1,470$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.730754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under51c1,329$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.624369.8%30 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf904…26e5backed Over9c1,110$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over51c1,017$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.9723354.9%128 W · 105 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over62c998$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.7727050.7%137 W · 133 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over51c972.85$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over52c800$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41221849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Over49c790.2$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over51c784.31$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40016656%93 W · 73 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Under26c776$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.69229.3%27 W · 65 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over54c740.74$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009567.4%64 W · 31 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Over9c715$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.24944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd61…ebbdbacked Under49c572.22$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.76580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+51%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2641…062fbacked Over7c524.99$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under47c523.97$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.8111245.5%51 W · 61 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over51c474.51$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2423754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76ca…6a3abacked Over51c452.29$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.672119%4 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.18per pick37cpaid-54%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over51c421.35$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.793,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e1a…d5a3backed Under43c397.89$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.146448.4%31 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf23c…249bbacked Under36c396.36$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.43100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+88.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Over51c381.29$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.4623542.1%99 W · 136 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x57f6…fed6backed Under33c271.81$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.81250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+49.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Over51c269.16$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.27560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f4b…fa65backed Under29c171.24$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+240.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over52c163$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.7618742.2%79 W · 108 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe62e…8147backed Over51c156.97$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.641926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f33…0d47backed Over65c153.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.971668.8%11 W · 5 L+4.0wins+0.25per pick44cpaid+78%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2840…ec7ebacked Over53c138.66$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.49333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over76c131.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012645.2%57 W · 69 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x234e…fa88backed Over80c125$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over67c121.67$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.069162.6%57 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc655…cc42backed Under35c114.27$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+182.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Over51c113.47$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under67c106.65$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1837355.2%206 W · 167 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x546e…ec0cbacked Over53c103.36$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.781353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cbc…1871backed Over71c102.72$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Under49c101.96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.96862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ecd…c9ffbacked Under29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+75.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea9b…2be5backed Over53c97.37$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.63663.9%23 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Over51c97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.473138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507032.9%23 W · 47 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc252…93cfbacked Under36c83.09$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.438556.5%48 W · 37 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0da3…1b45backed Under51c78.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.022176.2%16 W · 5 L+5.8wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+87.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Under20c73.65$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.8513548.9%66 W · 69 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa6c…a67dbacked Under50c71.27$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.971136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-27.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b4a…7bd0backed Over53c70.85$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-34.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x201b…9146backed Under27c69.15$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.481266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over51c67.71$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.538153.1%43 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d98…84cabacked Under30c67.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.41662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+40.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3de…fe0ebacked Under50c61.82$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.911163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0ae…106cbacked Under21c58.74$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.42653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid+12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Over53c56.58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.991711.8%2 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick28cpaid-77.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xed3f…2d57backed Under23c55.91$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0511461.4%70 W · 44 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc981…a53dbacked Over51c54.9$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under76c54.88$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9510160.4%61 W · 40 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x37c4…359ebacked Over65c53.74$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.933759.5%22 W · 15 L+5.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+121%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8bf2…0f0dbacked Over51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Over53c47.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.25940.7%24 W · 35 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fca…5f02backed Under33c46.51$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.162532%8 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Over53c46.11$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.442133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3160…e846backed Under49c45.43$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.14771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick43cpaid+81.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2f9…3f4fbacked Under39c45.35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.751127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over42c45.08$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7314335.7%51 W · 92 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71d4…77e8backed Under49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2db9…846cbacked Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3be…4cd6backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-57.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x011c…f943backed Under51c38.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.992343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+63.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Over53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-34%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xab1d…3204backed Over53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x558c…d8ffbacked Over51c37.49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.31616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-65.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5337…222bbacked Over55c37.45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.713740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9310…569fbacked Over51c35.18$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.94425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcaa1…b0fbbacked Under49c32.91$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fd3…bd7fbacked Over62c31.1$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.28850%4 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under35c30$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5620055%110 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb295…4ee4backed Under66c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over71c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2599259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157732.5%25 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.