TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2641…062f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: CS2, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Toby Samuelbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Mexico City: Matias Soto vs Stefano Napolitanobacked Matias Soto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.96
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Fabian Marozsan vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.88
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Jelena Ostapenko vs Alexandra Ealabacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$17.38
Brasilia: Adolfo Vallejo vs Henrique Rochabacked Adolfo Vallejo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Antalya 2: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
BNP Paribas Open: Ugo Humbert vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$40
Thionville: Hugo Gaston vs Keegan Smithbacked Keegan Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14.92
BNP Paribas Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$13.62
BNP Paribas Open: Mariano Navone vs Marcos Gironbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$24.61
Brasilia: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Miguel Damasbacked Miguel Damas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.06
Hersonissos: Javier Barranco Cosano vs Dimitar Kuzmanovbacked Javier Barranco Cosano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.99
Antalya 2: Dominika Salkova vs Elina Avanesyanbacked Elina Avanesyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$12.25
Antalya 2: Berfu Cengiz vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Berfu Cengiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.45
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Himeno Sakatsume vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Brasilia: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Franco Roncadellibacked Eduardo Ribeiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+39.3%+$7.86
Brasilia: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Pedro Sakamotobacked Igor Ribeiro Marcondes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+81.4%+$16.28
Hersonissos: Lui Maxted vs Harry Wendelkenbacked Lui Maxted · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19.99
Antalya 2: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Carole Monnetbacked Leyre Romero Gormaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Mitchell Krueger vs Dalibor Svrcinabacked Dalibor Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+48.8%+$9.76
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Jack Pinnington Jonesbacked Jack Pinnington Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 21 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-79.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arya Azma win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.81
Will Alexis Hill win the 2026 Nevada Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.96
Will Jermaine Johnson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Will Michael Hummert be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Montana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.43
Will Joe Johnson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.69
Will Douglas T. Muck Jr. be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.04
Will Tim Skelton be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.88
Will David Burch be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will Russell McAlmond be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.81
Will Jo Rae Perkins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Jacob Ryan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oregon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.88
Will Jacy Todd win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.03
Will Jim Pillen win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$56.41
Will Charles Herbster win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.6
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-48.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+247.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+300.6%+$43.93
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Gaimin Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+193.9%+$58.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick27cpaid+163.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$74.8
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 February 16-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+426.3%+$426.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$36.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$35.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$70.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$378.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$56.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$19.92
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.