Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Adrian Mannarino
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc017867acfd1ab30a231625c6e769301de6af4580da4b0e84d8d634777a51fed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matteo Berrettiniof Matteo Berrettini, Adrian Mannarino
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $278,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $278,741 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 261 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83b4…13c9backed Matteo Berrettini | 58c | 17,927$10,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,618.74 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Matteo Berrettini | 45c | 12,924$5,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,164.74 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Adrian Mannarino | 47c | 12,274$5,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,763.93 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Adrian Mannarino | 54c | 11,622$6,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,278.97 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Matteo Berrettini | 66c | 8,568$5,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,913.07 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Adrian Mannarino | 34c | 7,332$2,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,492.75 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2301…c95fbacked Adrian Mannarino | 55c | 7,019$3,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,845.59 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5f…7a4ebacked Adrian Mannarino | 32c | 6,736$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,135.2 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Matteo Berrettini | 61c | 6,129$3,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,405.62 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Matteo Berrettini | 57c | 5,255$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,284.99 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Matteo Berrettini | 39c | 4,347$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,645.99 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Adrian Mannarino | 57c | 4,231$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,424.54 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Matteo Berrettini | 67c | 4,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.99 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Adrian Mannarino | 43c | 3,764$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.06 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Matteo Berrettini | 68c | 3,527$2,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.28 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Adrian Mannarino | 55c | 3,500$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925 | 441 | 63.7%281 W · 160 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…71b4backed Adrian Mannarino | 49c | 3,355$1,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.07 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Adrian Mannarino | 41c | 3,051$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.64 | 175 | 52.6%92 W · 83 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Matteo Berrettini | 33c | 3,030$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.3 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Matteo Berrettini | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130.06 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Matteo Berrettini | 55c | 2,950$1,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.5 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Adrian Mannarino | 46c | 2,717$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Adrian Mannarino | 36c | 2,671$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Matteo Berrettini | 68c | 2,587$1,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.84 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e24…c746backed Matteo Berrettini | 71c | 2,330$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.72 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Adrian Mannarino | 36c | 2,184$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.98 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Matteo Berrettini | 37c | 2,162$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.39 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Matteo Berrettini | 34c | 2,111$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.75 | 625 | 34.4%215 W · 410 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…820fbacked Matteo Berrettini | 68c | 1,972$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.91 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Adrian Mannarino | 53c | 1,968$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.34 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Adrian Mannarino | 45c | 1,575$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.53 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8234…37b6backed Adrian Mannarino | 73c | 1,537$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.03 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ce…99f6backed Adrian Mannarino | 33c | 1,482$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.49 | 179 | 36.9%66 W · 113 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Matteo Berrettini | 57c | 1,468$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.43 | 706 | 52.7%372 W · 334 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Adrian Mannarino | 33c | 1,445$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.87 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Adrian Mannarino | 43c | 1,354$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.38 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Adrian Mannarino | 42c | 1,337$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.39 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Matteo Berrettini | 41c | 1,288$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.41 | 439 | 51.9%228 W · 211 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…9b05backed Matteo Berrettini | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -9.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Matteo Berrettini | 51c | 1,188$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.04 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Adrian Mannarino | 36c | 1,050$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.42 | 186 | 36%67 W · 119 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f2…a822backed Matteo Berrettini | 69c | 1,014$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.34 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Matteo Berrettini | 45c | 1,012$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.87 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b4…1e3ebacked Adrian Mannarino | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7767…4fb2backed Adrian Mannarino | 44c | 987.28$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.64 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Adrian Mannarino | 42c | 951.87$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 378 | 54%204 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Adrian Mannarino | 33c | 910.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.5 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Adrian Mannarino | 38c | 907.41$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.4 | 545 | 47.9%261 W · 284 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Adrian Mannarino | 33c | 899.9$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.17 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…eca3backed Matteo Berrettini | 36c | 891.47$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.54 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Adrian Mannarino | 40c | 852.94$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.18 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aee…fad4backed Adrian Mannarino | 38c | 792.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Adrian Mannarino | 33c | 757.58$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Adrian Mannarino | 31c | 749.99$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Adrian Mannarino | 52c | 703.03$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Adrian Mannarino | 37c | 676$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e7…705bbacked Matteo Berrettini | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…695abacked Matteo Berrettini | 34c | 628.76$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.98 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Adrian Mannarino | 33c | 624.64$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.39 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Adrian Mannarino | 55c | 609.89$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.75 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Matteo Berrettini | 33c | 606.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.1 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Matteo Berrettini | 38c | 603.68$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.39 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4720…007bbacked Matteo Berrettini | 33c | 560$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.2 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Matteo Berrettini | 67c | 545.41$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.73 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Matteo Berrettini | 58c | 526$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.48 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Matteo Berrettini | 66c | 512.16$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.13 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Adrian Mannarino | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 146 | 63%92 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Matteo Berrettini | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.19 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Adrian Mannarino | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Adrian Mannarino | 31c | 486.06$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.71 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked Adrian Mannarino | 54c | 456.48$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.5 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Matteo Berrettini | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf642…0c19backed Adrian Mannarino | 30c | 442.33$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.7 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Adrian Mannarino | 70c | 427.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 373 | 51.2%191 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Adrian Mannarino | 33c | 410$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.59 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Matteo Berrettini | 69c | 400$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5085…9bbcbacked Matteo Berrettini | 65c | 392.31$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.31 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b8…632abacked Adrian Mannarino | 35c | 390.6$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.97 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc3…c0eabacked Matteo Berrettini | 69c | 384.64$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.24 | 133 | 63.9%85 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Matteo Berrettini | 49c | 382$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.02 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63d…a59bbacked Adrian Mannarino | 39c | 381.49$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Adrian Mannarino | 31c | 371.73$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.24 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Adrian Mannarino | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea5d…d375backed Matteo Berrettini | 45c | 365.35$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.27 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Matteo Berrettini | 57c | 330$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.1 | 182 | 47.3%86 W · 96 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Matteo Berrettini | 48c | 328.04$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.04 | 656 | 52.1%342 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Adrian Mannarino | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b4…150ebacked Adrian Mannarino | 33c | 317.06$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.63 | 149 | 47%70 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Matteo Berrettini | 44c | 315.56$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.7 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Adrian Mannarino | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Matteo Berrettini | 67c | 309.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Adrian Mannarino | 32c | 309.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 255 | 46.3%118 W · 137 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Adrian Mannarino | 56c | 308.07$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.22 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Matteo Berrettini | 43c | 306.5$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.53 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0129…e3c9backed Adrian Mannarino | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Matteo Berrettini | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 415 | 44.3%184 W · 231 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb315…d6c9backed Matteo Berrettini | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 153 | 24.8%38 W · 115 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Adrian Mannarino | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Matteo Berrettini | 67c | 303.03$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Matteo Berrettini | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BNP Paribas Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Adrian Mannarinothis page
- Set Handicap: Berrettini (-1.5) vs Mannarino (+1.5)Mannarino won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.