TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf642…0c19

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
186
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: College Football, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 57 out of 100; worst NFL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST6732.8%22 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Jaqueline Cristian vs Janice Tjenbacked Jaqueline Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+197.2%+$371.99
BNP Paribas Open: Zachary Svajda vs Marin Cilicbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$249.2
BNP Paribas Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$132.7
Dubai Tennis Championships: Stan Wawrinka vs Benjamin Hassanbacked Hassan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$148
Dubai Tennis Championships: Moez Echargui vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Echargui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Mexican Open, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Coleman Wongbacked Kypson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+150%+$69
Mexican Open, Qualification: Elias Ymer vs Nicolas Mejiabacked Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$134
Mexican Open, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Yibing Wubacked Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$96
Mexican Open, Qualification: Alex Hernandez vs Coleman Wongbacked Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$197
Delray Beach Open: Tommy Paul vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$161
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Clara Tauson vs Jessica Pegulabacked Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$111
Delray Beach Open: Alex Michelsen vs Sebastian Kordabacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$94
Rio Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$101
Rio Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+117.6%+$55.25
Delray Beach Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Coleman Wongbacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$191
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Coco Gauff vs Elise Mertensbacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+191.3%+$759.58
Qatar Open: Jakub Mensik vs Zhizhen Zhangbacked Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$92
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Belinda Bencic vs Elina Svitolinabacked Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$137
Qatar Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$99
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Antonia Ruzicbacked Ruzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+525%+$367.5
Qatar Open: Marton Fucsovics vs Karen Khachanovbacked Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Rio Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Joao Lucas Da Silvabacked Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$149
Rio Open: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Ignacio Busebacked Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+180%+$21.01
Dallas Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Ben Sheltonbacked Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$77
Argentina Open: Pedro Martinez vs Luciano Darderibacked Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$110
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST5147.1%24 W · 27 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+22.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-3.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+112.8%+$318
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$387
Spread: Mississippi State (-3.5)backed Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$276
Wake Forest vs. Mississippi Statebacked Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$387
Arizona vs. SMU Mustangsbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$848Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$666.29
Spread: Navy (-7.5)backed Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$544Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+107.9%+$587.21
Spread: Texas State (-14.5)backed Rice · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$469
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,355Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+194.1%+$2,630.29
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$142.28
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+270.4%+$623.12
Michigan vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,029Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+100%+$1,029
Arizona State vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,003Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+61.3%+$614.74
Iowa vs. Vanderbiltbacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+180.4%+$769.75
USC vs. TCUbacked TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+177.8%+$810.67
Tennessee vs. Illinoisbacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$833Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$833
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Louisiana Techbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$241
Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian Statebacked Appalachian State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$427
LSU vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+108.4%+$237.35
Virginia vs. Missouribacked Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$955Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+163.2%+$1,558.16
Georgia Tech vs. BYUbacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$461
Connecticut vs. Armybacked Connecticut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$496
Penn State vs. Clemsonbacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+122.2%+$609.89
Pittsburgh vs. East Carolinabacked East Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+354.5%+$1,131
Spread: UTSA Roadrunners (-5.5)backed UTSA Roadrunners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+72.4%+$180.31
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST3542.9%15 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+108.3%+$122.42
Hornets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$67
Nuggets vs. Bullsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+84.7%+$284.68
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$142
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$99
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$260
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+61.3%+$72.32
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+175.9%+$187.11
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+167.2%+$285.89
Lakers vs. Cavaliersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$165
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$106
Knicks vs. Sunsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$557Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$557
Raptors vs. Hornetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$128.9
Clippers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+53.8%+$99.62
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+100%+$13
Magic vs. Wizardsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$103
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Thunder vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$266
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Warriors vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$195
Jazz vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$486
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+152.7%+$591.08
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$893Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+70.6%+$630.69
Spurs vs. Wizards: 1H Moneylinebacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$47
Trail Blazers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$66
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST3330.3%10 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Spread: Rams (-11.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$71
Spread: Rams (-10.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$108
Colts vs. Texansbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Dolphins vs. Patriotsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$107
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+163.2%+$50.58
Chiefs vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+122.2%+$70.89
Cardinals vs. Ramsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Saints vs. Falconsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$61
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$302
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$892Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$892
1H Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$472
Bears vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+61.3%+$243.32
Eagles vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$249
Giants vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$234
Buccaneers vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$453Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+222.6%+$1,008.29
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$223
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$207
Lions vs. Vikingsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+307.2%+$712.67
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$230
Spread: Packers (-3.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$58
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+108.8%+$34.81
Spread: Rams (-4.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+81.8%+$46.64
Colts vs. Seahawksbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$58
Chargers vs. Chiefsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+244.8%+$83.24
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.