TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Pistons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Knicks, Pistons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,121,922
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,149,616

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,121,922 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,020 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x07b8…8e25backed Pistons66c171,335$112,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,967.3423257.8%134 W · 98 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Knicks34c163,232$55,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,614.4554539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Knicks43c150,769$65,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,338.3522453.1%119 W · 105 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x434c…c096backed Knicks27c114,593$31,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,230.531315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.26per pick41cpaid-57.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Knicks40c53,400$21,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,60020948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb12d…f73cbacked Pistons50c51,085$25,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,542.659655.2%53 W · 43 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Knicks33c39,993$13,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,197.731,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Pistons62c37,430$23,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,223.5351844.4%230 W · 288 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcad4…c108backed Pistons67c35,866$23,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,932.386651.5%34 W · 32 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Knicks8c30,688$2,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,529.8510952.3%57 W · 52 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Knicks40c30,000$11,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,90023245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Knicks5c29,415$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,395.0419033.7%64 W · 126 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5227…f9bdbacked Pistons66c29,081$19,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,95110252.9%54 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Pistons52c28,512$14,832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,679.952,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Knicks38c27,000$10,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,21046145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Knicks0c25,622$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.394573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Knicks53c25,000$13,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,249.9917554.9%96 W · 79 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Knicks52c22,061$11,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,427.7827424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Knicks39c21,271$8,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,225.848543.5%37 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Pistons59c20,604$12,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,447.7140446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Knicks52c20,000$10,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,384.911,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Knicks36c20,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,20019751.8%102 W · 95 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Knicks4c20,000$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.3526637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Knicks52c20,000$10,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,399.9719653.6%105 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Knicks40c19,792$7,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,852.730845.8%141 W · 167 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Pistons60c19,193$11,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,755.621,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Pistons59c18,841$11,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,698.661,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Pistons64c18,457$11,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,669.381,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Pistons62c18,075$11,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,957.4335251.1%180 W · 172 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Pistons65c16,571$10,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,862.4259347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pistons61c16,156$9,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,352.319,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Pistons65c16,000$10,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,679.991,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Knicks49c15,589$7,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,628.7981529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Pistons62c15,417$9,558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,858.439857.1%56 W · 42 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Knicks35c15,000$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,25061851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbf6…1395backed Knicks7c15,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.995054%27 W · 23 L+8.4wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+30.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Knicks35c14,293$5,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,002.713142.7%56 W · 75 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons54c13,976$7,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,464.236,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Knicks35c13,853$4,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,848.4128649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Knicks53c13,454$7,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,139.0152760%316 W · 211 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Pistons65c13,447$8,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,706.4724554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks5c13,371$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.371,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Pistons47c13,023$6,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,866.8519645.9%90 W · 106 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a36…4121backed Knicks45c12,552$5,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,707.7411949.6%59 W · 60 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Pistons60c12,449$7,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,953.61,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Pistons63c12,000$7,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,399.9831445.2%142 W · 172 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Pistons52c11,719$6,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,672.7545850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Pistons60c11,719$6,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,741.192,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Pistons63c11,250$7,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,162.4919150.8%97 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Knicks37c10,928$4,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,043.3628643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14cc…7c02backed Knicks44c10,720$4,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,687.2613842.8%59 W · 79 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cf…7d64backed Pistons47c10,664$5,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,651.832045%9 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Pistons57c10,432$5,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,498.852,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Pistons66c10,403$6,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,536.969336.6%34 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Knicks1c10,294$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.925213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d0…a31bbacked Pistons60c10,000$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0004235.7%15 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5ef…be38backed Knicks34c10,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,400633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-41%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons60c9,741$5,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,885.974,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks40c9,723$3,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,873.444,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x336a…0e3ebacked Knicks35c9,680$3,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3881353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14fa…cfb0backed Pistons48c9,487$4,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,968.07560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Pistons61c9,113$5,559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,554.0748352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Knicks49c9,000$4,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,44021446.7%100 W · 114 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Pistons61c8,912$5,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,475.6550241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x938f…f13fbacked Pistons60c8,775$5,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,472.875349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf31a…c792backed Knicks51c8,500$4,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,334.821855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Knicks39c8,438$3,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,29831644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d4d…3a35backed Pistons49c8,099$3,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,130.48757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+136.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c42…da3cbacked Pistons48c8,000$3,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,159.9114055.7%78 W · 62 L+11.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa5aa…9134backed Pistons48c7,951$3,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,158.3519957.8%115 W · 84 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0f8b…77d4backed Knicks52c7,800$4,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,055.9811244.6%50 W · 62 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Pistons52c7,736$3,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,746.991,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Knicks35c7,143$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Knicks1c7,063$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2564517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66b6…159dbacked Pistons56c7,056$3,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,104.466357.1%36 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Knicks37c7,000$2,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,605.2814434%49 W · 95 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked Knicks36c6,944$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5009849%48 W · 50 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Knicks0c6,650$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.258820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7635…63f6backed Pistons51c6,476$3,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,162.4421440.7%87 W · 127 L-16.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf958…5a02backed Pistons59c6,437$3,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,632.422665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+39.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked Pistons48c6,250$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,25015435.7%55 W · 99 L+0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Knicks32c6,231$1,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,97023052.6%121 W · 109 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4850…a765backed Pistons48c6,100$2,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,172.05933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Knicks34c6,095$2,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,072.31,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Pistons54c6,015$3,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,769.7277348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Knicks15c6,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8801,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Knicks35c6,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.991735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-38.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Pistons65c5,967$3,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,102.4848956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pistons65c5,939$3,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,086.045,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6547…12c4backed Knicks52c5,833$3,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,033.171258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+25.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Knicks40c5,825$2,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,322.6539958.4%233 W · 166 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Pistons49c5,756$2,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,943.0827247.1%128 W · 144 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Knicks35c5,717$1,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,986.0762144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Knicks2c5,453$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.2967911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa89c…398fbacked Knicks41c5,298$2,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,192.5812524.8%31 W · 94 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Pistons55c5,220$2,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,335.1236950.1%185 W · 184 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57db…ec9fbacked Knicks47c5,200$2,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,44410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f98…eb9ebacked Pistons53c5,200$2,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,444250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Knicks35c5,159$1,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,805.6529245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4147…e9a1backed Pistons48c5,122$2,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,681.481675%12 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+60.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.