TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$77,516
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,386

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,516 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under53c6,912$3,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,268.261,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cbf…4ec0backed Over49c6,827$3,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,326.95858.6%34 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under53c5,282$2,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,491.292,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x577d…6317backed Under50c3,656$1,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Under53c3,640$1,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,724.5510048%48 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08c8…c36fbacked Over50c3,488$1,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,74420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5388…f0d1backed Under50c3,455$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,727.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0ee…ba24backed Over50c3,455$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,727.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59b5…b917backed Under50c3,428$1,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7141100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5850…c92abacked Over50c3,411$1,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,707.4920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4d7…54e8backed Over50c3,333$1,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,666.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc5f…e648backed Over50c3,224$1,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,612450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x069f…8088backed Under50c3,222$1,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Over48c3,188$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53025951.4%133 W · 126 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd851…f1cbbacked Under50c3,145$1,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,572.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb82…3ce6backed Under50c3,025$1,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,512.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x447d…d5cbbacked Over50c3,020$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,510450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd107…ba9abacked Under50c2,766$1,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,383475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+56.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x59f1…64a1backed Under50c2,655$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ad7…ac30backed Over50c2,600$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe349…a90cbacked Under50c2,589$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa173…a92bbacked Over50c2,588$1,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90f6…71eebacked Over47c2,500$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.995547.3%26 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb2c…cadfbacked Under50c2,455$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b9d…8934backed Over50c2,420$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,21030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under53c2,400$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.9980737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3a3…864fbacked Under50c2,255$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e31…81f9backed Over50c2,211$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under51c2,135$1,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.81,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d45…daccbacked Over50c2,135$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf52e…cf6cbacked Over50c1,923$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over47c1,906$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.913,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Under53c1,773$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.0421250.5%107 W · 105 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over48c1,367$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.764,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7647…c75ebacked Over50c1,325$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0116…3fbbbacked Under50c1,304$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6522100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over49c1,292$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.0858347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67f6…e661backed Under50c1,256$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bf2…b72cbacked Over50c1,235$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x55be…5832backed Under50c1,157$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Over47c1,050$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.4922143%95 W · 126 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over46c1,045$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.158,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c892.9$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.079,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbbc…8afbbacked Over47c851.06$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over47c802.43$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.1423850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over46c800$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3641,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf154…27e3backed Over47c744.68$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3509051.1%46 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under51c687$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.6331354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24045647.1%215 W · 241 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Over47c416$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.5217644.9%79 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36f9…cec7backed Over50c339.37$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.6940%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over43c324.19$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.41,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Over47c295.52$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.8951146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f72…0841backed Over50c251.68$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.8410255.9%57 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over49c244.54$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.923,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0100…f6dcbacked Over47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008647.7%41 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under59c203.38$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.382,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9080744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under53c188.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6763447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over41c183.56$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.261,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over51c169.84$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6216347.2%77 W · 86 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked Over48c151.2$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5814742.2%62 W · 85 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bd7…373ebacked Under60c148$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.859350.5%47 W · 46 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Under54c147.87$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3533653.9%181 W · 155 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under52c142.31$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.0195047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf782…6849backed Over42c138.74$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8413750.4%69 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50fc…ba9abacked Over47c118$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.464652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf534…d84abacked Over48c81.77$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.16742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid+61%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Under59c79.17$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4628147.7%134 W · 147 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over46c78.52$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7343958.8%258 W · 181 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over44c77.39$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.753,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under53c77.2$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.941,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc5…b83abacked Under51c69$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.12846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under54c66.27$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.481,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edc…55ecbacked Over48c52.38$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.16875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+38.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8d4…651cbacked Under53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba3…8cb2backed Under52c49.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.999758.8%57 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over41c49.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.281,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Under60c48.27$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1257657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under56c47.39$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.853,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Under60c41.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3340849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Under59c31$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7171245.8%326 W · 386 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Over42c30.1$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6450841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Over41c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.319050.5%96 W · 94 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under55c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.559141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under59c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.36,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…67b1backed Under53c29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.633956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Under54c27.53$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7832952.9%174 W · 155 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e57…41f0backed Under53c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.692445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Over39c26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1452240%209 W · 313 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over47c25.68$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1250948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabb7…7959backed Under53c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.872268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+35.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Under61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.841251%210 W · 202 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a94…31e6backed Under53c19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.931163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf584…d8dabacked Under59c16.95$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.953961.5%24 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.