TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Pistons: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Knicks, Pistons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,539
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,332

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,539 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93c8…adffbacked Pistons62c483.87$300 inWon+$183.871560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e44…686abacked Knicks43c348.84$150 inLost-$1501040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Knicks21c119.22$25 inLost-$25.145,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Knicks38c100$38 inLost-$382,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60e3…c767backed Pistons60c87.73$53 inWon+$35.1811553%61 W · 54 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x454a…4039backed Pistons46c85$39 inWon+$45.94358.1%25 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Pistons57c50$29 inWon+$21.53,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Knicks43c50$22 inLost-$21.574547.2%352 W · 393 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba83…4f66backed Pistons62c48.14$30 inWon+$18.143265.6%21 W · 11 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Knicks38c41.03$16 inLost-$15.632,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1947…c6ecbacked Knicks54c30$16 inLost-$16.21442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…67b1backed Knicks54c22$12 inLost-$11.883956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc727…adc2backed Knicks54c20$11 inLost-$10.82462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc989…679ebacked Pistons57c19$11 inWon+$8.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.