TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$176,326
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$177,044

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,326 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcad4…c108backed Pistons48c39,884$18,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,938.36651.5%34 W · 32 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Knicks55c30,000$16,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,499.9638253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Pistons45c18,000$8,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,90049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks52c11,330$5,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,904.716,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14fa…cfb0backed Pistons45c9,000$4,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,950560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Knicks50c8,781$4,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,415.83,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x820c…cb55backed Pistons45c6,686$3,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,677.141471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+45.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf154…27e3backed Pistons45c5,111$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,811.119051.1%46 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Knicks55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,75045348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Pistons59c4,799$2,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,963.732,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Pistons45c4,444$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,444.213142.7%56 W · 75 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Knicks48c4,100$1,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9641,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks45c3,534$1,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,604.68,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pistons54c2,957$1,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370.819,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Knicks43c2,909$1,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25120948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Knicks49c2,707$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,318.561,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Pistons45c2,652$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,452.1730446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Knicks53c2,272$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2042,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Knicks55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10026755.8%149 W · 118 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks42c1,970$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.524,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Pistons53c1,943$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.862,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Knicks55c1,800$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.853,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07a3…7beabacked Knicks55c1,366$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10c8…e02dbacked Pistons45c1,360$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+40.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8989…7088backed Pistons45c1,360$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7482100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+111.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac8e…5cafbacked Knicks55c1,354$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.730%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x605d…cec3backed Pistons45c1,268$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.1915450.6%78 W · 76 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0100…f6dcbacked Pistons45c1,204$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.448647.7%41 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Knicks52c1,185$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.21,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd938…f131backed Knicks55c1,125$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa215…db22backed Pistons45c1,120$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eea…76efbacked Pistons45c1,100$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ecf…f54bbacked Knicks55c1,095$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Pistons64c1,000$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.172560%15 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Knicks55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55040947.7%195 W · 214 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Pistons45c982.44$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.3419445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Pistons60c934$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.031,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4fd…0095backed Pistons58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.075369.8%37 W · 16 L+7.9wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+29%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Pistons62c805.72$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.7227158.3%158 W · 113 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Pistons50c735$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.91,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Knicks49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29480744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe098…8ee2backed Knicks56c535.89$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020754.1%112 W · 95 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks53c329.99$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.34,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Knicks12c294.47$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.292,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Knicks41c292.68$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Knicks29c268.4$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4955846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Knicks52c219.22$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.482,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Knicks50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10091148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Pistons60c192.04$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3550651.2%259 W · 247 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Knicks48c179.81$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.211,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Knicks42c174.44$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.261,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Pistons45c157.59$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.5910048%48 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Pistons54c120.98$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2933653.9%181 W · 155 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Pistons61c115.29$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6347045.1%212 W · 258 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Knicks40c106.14$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4250948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Knicks42c101.12$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.023,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d65…c8cebacked Pistons74c93.72$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.21464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fb0…3182backed Pistons52c87.73$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1121357.7%123 W · 90 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf782…6849backed Knicks43c84.17$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5713750.4%69 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49ef…6e02backed Knicks42c80.31$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.73450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Knicks55c74.69$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0829055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Knicks16c74.65$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6314557.9%84 W · 61 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6746…70e1backed Knicks41c73.78$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303330.3%10 W · 23 L-5.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-35.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Pistons63c70$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.933360.4%201 W · 132 L+17.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x90aa…5f6cbacked Pistons46c70$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.821849.5%108 W · 110 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Knicks39c67$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1924330.5%74 W · 169 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Knicks52c66$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2670246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Knicks50c55.82$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0839756.7%225 W · 172 L+21.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Pistons56c52.09$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.157657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Knicks45c50.08$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5495047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Pistons58c49.77$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.83,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d23…b5a2backed Pistons46c47.83$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.838946.1%41 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76e7…1872backed Knicks39c46.28$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.022142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked Pistons46c46$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.848739.1%34 W · 53 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2aee…51a8backed Knicks55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9d3…246cbacked Pistons46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4814346.9%67 W · 76 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4662…1d65backed Pistons46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.485343.4%23 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Pistons60c43.32$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3340849%200 W · 208 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa885…84debacked Pistons46c41.9$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.88856.8%50 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf628…ba6fbacked Knicks39c41.2$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.078440.5%34 W · 50 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Knicks56c30.62$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.151,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Pistons55c28.57$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.861,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Pistons65c27.71$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.750841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd402…5a50backed Pistons46c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.528058.2%163 W · 117 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Knicks44c23.64$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.425143%108 W · 143 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ce1…af41backed Knicks44c23.36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Knicks52c19.3$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0453043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Pistons57c18$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.681,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.