NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xded013dc4d6a83f06b53bdf1962113407a167aecf2af4e2ca49c9f9a2da0fabb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Knicks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $877,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $878,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $877,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Pistons | 51c | 516,874$263,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253,314.18 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Knicks | 49c | 350,000$171,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171,499.99 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Knicks | 49c | 300,000$146,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146,000 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Pistons | 54c | 191,040$103,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,802.59 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Pistons | 51c | 63,157$32,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,946.7 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Knicks | 43c | 38,061$16,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,462.02 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Pistons | 51c | 27,293$13,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,493.76 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Knicks | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Pistons | 52c | 13,635$7,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,544.62 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Knicks | 43c | 11,628$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Knicks | 44c | 11,340$4,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,987.52 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Knicks | 48c | 11,111$5,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,333.27 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Knicks | 49c | 9,989$4,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,931.8 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Knicks | 49c | 8,192$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…f9bdbacked Pistons | 53c | 6,139$3,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,884.83 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Knicks | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.91 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Pistons | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.99 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Knicks | 49c | 5,044$2,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,491.19 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Knicks | 43c | 4,979$2,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,141.01 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5330…0bfabacked Knicks | 43c | 4,651$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.93 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Knicks | 49c | 4,141$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.99 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Knicks | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Knicks | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Knicks | 43c | 4,000$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Knicks | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 43c | 3,176$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.51 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks | 43c | 3,104$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.81 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Knicks | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Knicks | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.98 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef68…5733backed Pistons | 52c | 2,765$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.38 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Knicks | 49c | 2,653$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…2a22backed Knicks | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…47efbacked Knicks | 44c | 2,263$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.5 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Knicks | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…5696backed Knicks | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb748…5b21backed Knicks | 47c | 1,999$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.43 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Knicks | 48c | 1,998$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.11 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Knicks | 44c | 1,790$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.62 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Knicks | 43c | 1,600$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad40…a697backed Pistons | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe507…1258backed Knicks | 44c | 1,405$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.11 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Pistons | 52c | 1,255$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.65 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Pistons | 52c | 1,112$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.74 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Knicks | 48c | 1,100$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pistons | 51c | 970.59$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.59 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…d0e2backed Pistons | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +9.4wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 53c | 930.93$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.8 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Knicks | 48c | 624.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 210 | 45.2%95 W · 115 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Knicks | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf154…27e3backed Pistons | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Pistons | 53c | 569.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.67 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Knicks | 38c | 533.33$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Knicks | 48c | 479.33$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.08 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0a…7affbacked Knicks | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Knicks | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Pistons | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Pistons | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Pistons | 51c | 392.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.42 | 331 | 50.8%168 W · 163 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pistons | 51c | 381.3$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.93 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Pistons | 56c | 336.88$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.88 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e5…b098backed Pistons | 52c | 324.37$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.7 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…c9d0backed Knicks | 48c | 318.3$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ed…4a93backed Pistons | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Knicks | 50c | 300$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.2 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Knicks | 49c | 300$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa0…7191backed Knicks | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Pistons | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 236 | 48.7%115 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks | 47c | 254.14$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.08 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Knicks | 50c | 248.9$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.98 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Knicks | 48c | 244.89$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.55 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Knicks | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 226 | 46.9%106 W · 120 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Knicks | 48c | 208.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Knicks | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Pistons | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…9d18backed Pistons | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Pistons | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Knicks | 49c | 189$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.61 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Pistons | 53c | 184.91$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.91 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0d…b73abacked Pistons | 57c | 184.19$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdef0…8354backed Knicks | 48c | 177.08$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -56%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ad…b1bebacked Pistons | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Knicks | 43c | 174.42$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 380 | 50.8%193 W · 187 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Knicks | 44c | 171.52$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.48 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Pistons | 57c | 160$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 239 | 46.4%111 W · 128 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Pistons | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb0…8cc7backed Knicks | 45c | 143.02$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -50%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Knicks | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 619 | 57.5%356 W · 263 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Knicks | 43c | 125.75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Pistons | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Pistons | 59c | 112.68$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.68 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Pistons | 54c | 112$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Knicks | 49c | 102.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…e0dbbacked Knicks | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked Knicks | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 232 | 49.6%115 W · 117 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…570cbacked Knicks | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Knicks | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 263 | 39.5%104 W · 159 L | -13.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9b…eb8dbacked Knicks | 49c | 88.1$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.17 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x457f…cf1dbacked Pistons | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d81…20c3backed Pistons | 59c | 84.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons | 45c | 84.46$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Isaiah Stewart: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Knicks vs. PistonsPistons won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 223.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5Under won
- Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 17.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.