TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$877,761
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$878,444

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $877,761 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Pistons51c516,874$263,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253,314.1887451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Knicks49c350,000$171,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171,499.992,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Knicks49c300,000$146,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146,0001,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Pistons54c191,040$103,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87,802.5940446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Pistons51c63,157$32,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,946.726753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Knicks43c38,061$16,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,462.021,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Pistons51c27,293$13,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,493.761,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Knicks49c20,000$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,8002,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Pistons52c13,635$7,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,544.6211351.3%58 W · 55 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Knicks43c11,628$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00076746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Knicks44c11,340$4,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,987.522,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Knicks48c11,111$5,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,333.2724554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Knicks49c9,989$4,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,931.82,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Knicks49c8,192$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00020849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5227…f9bdbacked Pistons53c6,139$3,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,884.8310252.9%54 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Knicks49c6,000$2,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,939.912,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Pistons52c6,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,879.9912144.6%54 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Knicks49c5,044$2,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,491.191,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Knicks43c4,979$2,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,141.0118547%87 W · 98 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5330…0bfabacked Knicks43c4,651$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.9313142.7%56 W · 75 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Knicks49c4,141$2,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,028.9942648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Knicks49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010045%45 W · 55 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Knicks50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Knicks43c4,000$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,72046145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Knicks49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,96033945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks43c3,176$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.518,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks43c3,104$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.816,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Knicks49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47019147.6%91 W · 100 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Knicks47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.9843348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef68…5733backed Pistons52c2,765$1,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.381060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Knicks49c2,653$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30026640.2%107 W · 159 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x899a…2a22backed Knicks44c2,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00017241.9%72 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d5…47efbacked Knicks44c2,263$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.510642.5%45 W · 61 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Knicks50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ec…5696backed Knicks43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8603234.4%11 W · 21 L-4.7wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-39.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb748…5b21backed Knicks47c1,999$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.434330.2%13 W · 30 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1997…2e36backed Knicks48c1,998$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.1118747.1%88 W · 99 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Knicks44c1,790$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.6235744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Knicks43c1,600$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6861,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad40…a697backed Pistons52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7204454.5%24 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe507…1258backed Knicks44c1,405$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.112339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Pistons52c1,255$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.653,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Pistons52c1,112$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.741,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Knicks48c1,100$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5298657%49 W · 37 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pistons51c970.59$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.592,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a33…d0e2backed Pistons52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.545468.5%37 W · 17 L+9.4wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+30%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pistons53c930.93$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.89,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Knicks48c624.99$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9921045.2%95 W · 115 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Knicks49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30032347.1%152 W · 171 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf154…27e3backed Pistons52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.929051.1%46 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Pistons53c569.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.6732952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Knicks38c533.33$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20255846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Knicks48c479.33$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.0812951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c0a…7affbacked Knicks49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002326.1%6 W · 17 L-5.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-54.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Knicks45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18024442.6%104 W · 140 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc3e5…697abacked Pistons57c400$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17220650%103 W · 103 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Pistons50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20051451.9%267 W · 247 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Pistons51c392.42$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.4233150.8%168 W · 163 L+1.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Pistons51c381.3$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.933,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed Pistons56c336.88$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.883458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86e5…b098backed Pistons52c324.37$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.75457.4%31 W · 23 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+32.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa8e3…c9d0backed Knicks48c318.3$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.48742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36ed…4a93backed Pistons56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1323138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Knicks50c300$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.292750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Knicks49c300$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14891148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfa0…7191backed Knicks44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13212349.6%61 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Pistons58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12623648.7%115 W · 121 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks47c254.14$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.084,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Knicks50c248.9$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.983,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Knicks48c244.89$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.552,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed Knicks48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022646.9%106 W · 120 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Knicks48c208.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9963447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Knicks49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015052.7%79 W · 71 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Pistons57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8632346.4%150 W · 173 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8126…9d18backed Pistons53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944953.1%26 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Pistons51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0853453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Knicks49c189$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6141048.3%198 W · 212 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Pistons53c184.91$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9162546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c0d…b73abacked Pistons57c184.19$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdef0…8354backed Knicks48c177.08$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-56%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4ad…b1bebacked Pistons57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.442853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Knicks43c174.42$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7538050.8%193 W · 187 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Knicks44c171.52$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.481,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Pistons57c160$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.823946.4%111 W · 128 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Pistons53c150.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9423546.8%110 W · 125 L-18.7wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4eb0…8cc7backed Knicks45c143.02$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.51233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-50%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Knicks49c142.86$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7061957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Knicks43c125.75$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5450948.5%247 W · 262 L+2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked Pistons52c120$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.610143.6%44 W · 57 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Pistons59c112.68$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.681,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Pistons54c112$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.521,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Knicks49c102.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028949.1%142 W · 147 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a67…e0dbbacked Knicks49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504456.8%25 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked Knicks48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4823249.6%115 W · 117 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab9f…570cbacked Knicks50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013240.2%53 W · 79 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Knicks23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2326339.5%104 W · 159 L-13.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d9b…eb8dbacked Knicks49c88.1$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.178659.3%51 W · 35 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x457f…cf1dbacked Pistons57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7210659.4%63 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d81…20c3backed Pistons59c84.83$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.835853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons45c84.46$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.634,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.