TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, Knicks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$111,707
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$115,759

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,707 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6e82…752cbacked Pistons52c18,146$9,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,661.061,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Pistons54c8,681$4,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,029.841,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd29f…8877backed Knicks59c5,700$3,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,36310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8585…9d82backed Pistons41c5,700$2,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,363250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Pistons53c4,996$2,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,368.7321250.5%107 W · 105 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcd…355abacked Knicks40c4,590$1,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,835.997536%27 W · 48 L-9.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbb66…2f53backed Knicks46c4,305$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00020849.5%103 W · 105 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons57c4,166$2,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7794,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Knicks47c3,411$1,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,602.7731644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Knicks46c3,051$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,403.642,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Knicks48c3,024$1,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,441.65,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Knicks48c2,605$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.193,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Knicks46c2,565$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.91,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65d6…6d6bbacked Pistons61c2,470$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.4512844.5%57 W · 71 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…37a0backed Pistons41c2,056$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,213.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+50.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32a5…9024backed Knicks59c2,050$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,209.530%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb1e4…a58dbacked Knicks59c2,048$1,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,208.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x867c…56d3backed Pistons41c2,047$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.736100%6 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x037c…74c7backed Knicks59c2,045$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.5520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb7…2d5dbacked Pistons42c2,043$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.94250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6e5…8062backed Pistons41c2,043$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb434…5459backed Pistons41c2,038$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.42580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+68.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x05c7…02b7backed Knicks59c2,035$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x142c…cce1backed Knicks59c2,035$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f6…0d36backed Pistons41c2,035$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x975e…1d18backed Knicks59c2,024$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebba…d624backed Pistons41c2,024$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,194.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5214…22adbacked Pistons41c2,022$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,192.982100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+120%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc276…65bcbacked Knicks59c2,022$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.9830%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4669…a11fbacked Knicks59c2,021$1,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.3920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x186f…113abacked Pistons41c2,014$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188.26580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+70.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x80d1…8fa2backed Knicks59c2,012$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,187.0830%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc327…2b60backed Pistons41c2,011$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.492100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+126.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe774…f696backed Pistons41c2,003$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2044…aa5abacked Knicks59c2,001$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180.59650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9244…ea77backed Pistons41c2,001$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.592100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+126.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a19…5d3abacked Knicks59c2,001$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180.59425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45d5…47efbacked Knicks44c1,790$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.610642.5%45 W · 61 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Knicks51c1,765$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.41,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks47c1,732$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.854,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Knicks47c1,546$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.742,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks47c1,541$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.858,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc88b…af8bbacked Knicks41c1,530$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.3728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-48%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d92…a7b0backed Knicks58c1,422$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.4820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks44c1,149$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.216,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Pistons48c1,012$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.222,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Knicks48c1,000$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4831,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa552…eb9abacked Knicks58c827$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.6620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pistons50c825$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.52,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Pistons56c800$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3483,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Knicks50c799.99$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.880744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe098…8ee2backed Pistons54c570$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.220754.1%112 W · 95 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Knicks44c517.62$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.2326034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Pistons44c462.09$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.1336359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Pistons59c446$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.861,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Knicks60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e5…e2f4backed Pistons60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.334932.7%16 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Knicks47c327.74$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.0466646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x991a…2411backed Knicks47c280$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.61040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Knicks26c273.22$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7055846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cb8…bed9backed Knicks59c272.8$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.91464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Knicks45c264.19$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.882,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Knicks48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34f9…ebf6backed Pistons60c233.33$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.337460.8%45 W · 29 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c0a…7affbacked Knicks45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002326.1%6 W · 17 L-5.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-54.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe1f9…8d2dbacked Knicks44c221.82$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.61330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Knicks48c220.43$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.4395047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4683…1218backed Pistons60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc9aa…67e1backed Knicks58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1168041.3%33 W · 47 L-8.7wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Knicks46c200$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9191148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb007…7f04backed Pistons53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949247.8%44 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Pistons54c199.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9289050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6746…70e1backed Knicks42c189.55$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.993330.3%10 W · 23 L-5.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-35.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x70b2…1950backed Pistons60c188.33$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.338357.8%48 W · 35 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Knicks46c183.2$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.13,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Knicks59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10061056.1%342 W · 268 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20b2…ac60backed Pistons42c160$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x327a…a9b8backed Pistons42c160$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Knicks47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.55,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c86…7344backed Pistons42c147$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.262100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Knicks48c146$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.082,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71e7…db40backed Pistons42c140$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x88ce…8f3abacked Pistons42c120$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b6e…6cadbacked Knicks46c117.38$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.992937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Pistons53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8350653.2%269 W · 237 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca4…2a96backed Knicks60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6030836%111 W · 197 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Knicks47c94.53$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4348451.2%248 W · 236 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Pistons55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9151651.2%264 W · 252 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf782…6849backed Pistons59c90.67$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6213750.4%69 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb98e…8823backed Knicks60c83.73$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018456%103 W · 81 L+16.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Pistons60c70.93$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3740344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Pistons68c63.22$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.533,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Pistons60c61.7$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6850841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39bc…5640backed Pistons42c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Pistons41c58.58$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.562,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Pistons51c55.03$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9650651.2%259 W · 247 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Knicks55c54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.711451.8%59 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Pistons52c51.05$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2557657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked Pistons42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298739.1%34 W · 53 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x76e7…1872backed Knicks41c45.66$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.722142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.