TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$105,886
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,338

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,886 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bd7…373ebacked Under55c29,727$16,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,351.449350.5%47 W · 46 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over50c27,643$13,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,766.62,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over45c22,000$9,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,8802,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under52c11,301$5,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,397.992,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under50c7,297$3,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,629.2331644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c6,349$3,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,021.419,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x869f…7a8bbacked Under53c4,286$2,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,014.214052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd2b…7f04backed Over45c3,500$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5758348.2%40 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Over47c3,194$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50012649.2%62 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under51c3,129$1,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,533.412,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over50c2,318$1,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,165.771,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x360b…982fbacked Under54c2,174$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.074658.7%27 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d5…47efbacked Under53c2,130$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.110642.5%45 W · 61 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under45c1,906$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.475,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over52c1,891$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.211,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa63c…27a4backed Under46c1,520$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.793737.8%14 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-25%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x232d…4a9ebacked Over54c1,493$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.224165.9%27 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over46c1,449$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.033,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under53c1,247$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.411,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under76c1,237$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.221,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over47c1,207$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.42,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Under52c1,000$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.262560%15 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over21c722.03$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.968,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over48c602.03$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.423,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Over54c555$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.762539.4%246 W · 379 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over40c486.52$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.533,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c482.44$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.414,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under46c450.12$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.0680737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2201,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Under45c356.4$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.0217960.9%109 W · 70 L+17.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under45c344.45$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.451,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under51c294$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.061,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under54c279.99$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.878652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9684…16ecbacked Under57c265.17$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.173060%18 W · 12 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under45c261.36$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.7566646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over48c230.15$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.0995047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Under52c211$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.2835744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6746…70e1backed Over49c204.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.923330.3%10 W · 23 L-5.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-35.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9880744.1%356 W · 451 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under52c195.17$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6891148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Under52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3132347.1%152 W · 171 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Under52c192.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.363447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc0d…78a5backed Under47c190.73$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.653831.6%12 W · 26 L-6.5wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-36%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Over18c172.7$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9824330.5%74 W · 169 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under52c169.49$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.721,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under45c168.5$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.682,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb338…606ebacked Over44c120$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.85550.9%28 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over54c111.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6036453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64aa…7f42backed Over54c111.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605749.1%28 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over45c99.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4535739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Under56c98.21$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2150351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed Under76c97.23$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7219050.5%96 W · 94 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Under55c95.45$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9562541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5acf…0df2backed Over44c90.88$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.996241.9%26 W · 36 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-22.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Under52c85.71$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0633653.9%181 W · 155 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x454a…4039backed Under47c85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.054358.1%25 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ba3…8cb2backed Under54c80$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.89758.8%57 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd40…6582backed Under53c76.42$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e78…70c7backed Under53c64.72$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6832952.9%174 W · 155 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Over53c60.23$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9220352.2%106 W · 97 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56d1…61e2backed Over47c53.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.11450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+62.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Under55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.541251%210 W · 202 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Over40c49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.643246.1%199 W · 233 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd730…1948backed Over46c48.62$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3617155.6%95 W · 76 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under66c44.18$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8259141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under67c39.72$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2690357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2043958.8%258 W · 181 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84e6…eb7fbacked Under53c37.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.411361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Under55c36.84$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7157657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over37c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.13,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under76c29$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.961,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Over46c28.86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2850841.7%212 W · 296 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Under53c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.161,01851.6%525 W · 493 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Under51c26.56$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0153043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1315…d32ebacked Over53c26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.782343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x73a3…dac6backed Over53c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.253743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf782…6849backed Under54c23.19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6713750.4%69 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc525…daf0backed Under51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.85644.6%25 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbf9…9e8bbacked Over54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb665…95a8backed Over53c19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.072544%11 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.