NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe8779e9f1989bba0f3518ca985511f8aee2aa50d29ba9959d7bc61f0faec24a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,492
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,627
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,492 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked Over | 40c | 831.73$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.6 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 60c | 633.2$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.28 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 40c | 502$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.8 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 34c | 464.85$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.87 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Under | 72c | 349$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.21 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 38c | 324.39$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.4 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…878cbacked Under | 65c | 308.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.17 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Under | 60c | 280.38$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.15 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Over | 40c | 249.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 170 | 35.9%61 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Under | 59c | 209.66$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.96 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 194$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.73 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 62c | 193.54$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.55 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 41c | 174.31$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.47 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 60c | 167.92$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.17 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 38c | 154.1$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…4488backed Under | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -7.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 41c | 124$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.61 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c9…2669backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f4…5107backed Under | 71c | 98.58$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 61c | 97.62$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x457f…cf1dbacked Under | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 65c | 84.62$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Over | 42c | 83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 439 | 58.8%258 W · 181 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 47c | 67.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 40c | 66.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Under | 53c | 62.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 60.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Under | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 257 | 52.5%135 W · 122 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…52d7backed Under | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Over | 37c | 46.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 62c | 45.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Under | 65c | 33.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed Under | 58c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…6640backed Under | 58c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 66c | 24.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b72…5b75backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…afe6backed Under | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 225.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Isaiah Stewart: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Knicks vs. PistonsPistons won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 223.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5Under won
- Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 17.5No won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Pistons won
- Tobias Harris: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Tobias Harris: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.