TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 222.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$364,441
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$366,021

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $364,441 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 319 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7397…860cbacked Over48c5,800$2,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7842035%7 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-32.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1912…686cbacked Under52c5,800$3,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7842147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x287b…1e88backed Under48c5,732$2,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,980.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f6d…2635backed Over52c5,722$2,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,975.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb6c…0b33backed Over52c5,696$2,962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,961.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa947…c8cebacked Over52c5,648$2,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,936.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5427…c006backed Over52c5,630$2,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,927.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa472…5e02backed Over52c5,626$2,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,925.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae0…caa4backed Under48c5,563$2,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,892.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b41…c98abacked Over52c5,510$2,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,865.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdfb…a290backed Over52c5,486$2,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,852.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0365…d436backed Over52c5,382$2,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,798.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0c3…72cfbacked Over52c5,345$2,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,779.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x018d…71e0backed Over52c5,254$2,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,732.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76f5…3c6cbacked Under48c5,240$2,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,724.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb2f…32c9backed Over52c5,230$2,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,719.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aa2…1950backed Under48c5,128$2,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,666.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x485b…1c0fbacked Over52c5,102$2,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,653.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6249…4fd3backed Under48c5,006$2,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,603.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Under56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.9912144.6%54 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5abd…5989backed Under48c4,946$2,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,571.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x015e…056abacked Over52c4,840$2,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,516.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a7…48ddbacked Over52c4,818$2,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,505.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf52b…5bbdbacked Over52c4,804$2,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,498.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7b0…9496backed Over52c4,710$2,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1fe…8ebebacked Over52c4,604$2,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,394.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b3…e4d0backed Over52c4,598$2,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,390.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39bc…5640backed Over52c4,510$2,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,345.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38f9…0bffbacked Under48c4,422$2,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.44650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa4…174abacked Under48c4,368$2,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,271.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcb2…8d04backed Over52c4,364$2,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,269.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20b2…ac60backed Under48c4,294$2,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,232.882100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x392c…fb30backed Over52c4,288$2,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,229.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x327a…a9b8backed Under48c4,240$2,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,204.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c06…f3d1backed Under48c4,136$1,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,150.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b05…b399backed Under48c4,111$1,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,137.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86d2…7e20backed Under48c4,066$1,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,114.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf686…1822backed Under48c4,012$1,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,086.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x420f…2397backed Under48c4,008$1,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,084.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c4…7a39backed Under48c4,002$1,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffdd…b3adbacked Under48c3,920$1,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,038.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71e7…db40backed Under48c3,918$1,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,037.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8207…ec0abacked Under48c3,850$1,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf719…c85dbacked Under48c3,842$1,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,997.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28d8…078cbacked Under48c3,842$1,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,997.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c86…7344backed Under48c3,840$1,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,996.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9242…cbd7backed Under48c3,830$1,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,991.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8f1…f47bbacked Under48c3,760$1,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,955.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd023…7f97backed Under48c3,756$1,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,953.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x718e…ff54backed Over52c3,755$1,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,952.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8917…d610backed Under48c3,755$1,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,952.6250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcde5…f8dbbacked Over52c3,752$1,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,951.0420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd47f…0b49backed Under49c3,745$1,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,909.95475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+52%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9b1…1d19backed Under48c3,742$1,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,945.84250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5477…93c9backed Under48c3,741$1,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,945.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9589…0665backed Over52c3,701$1,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,924.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1649…33afbacked Over52c3,701$1,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,924.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4df…f395backed Over52c3,687$1,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,917.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a9a…d536backed Under48c3,686$1,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,916.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b5e…4a5cbacked Over52c3,666$1,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,906.3220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x926e…3140backed Under48c3,658$1,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,902.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f0b…340ebacked Under48c3,582$1,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,862.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa957…2d34backed Over52c3,566$1,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,854.32450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf02…e695backed Under48c3,563$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,852.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x557f…5914backed Over52c3,528$1,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,834.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88ce…8f3abacked Under48c3,502$1,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,821.042100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x122d…1ef5backed Under48c3,472$1,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,805.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75b6…cf1dbacked Under48c3,456$1,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,797.12475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dcb…f1e9backed Under48c3,456$1,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,797.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2c8…018ebacked Under48c3,425$1,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,781250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b24…41efbacked Over51c3,425$1,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,746.7520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf5a…44ecbacked Under48c3,425$1,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,781250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53d4…583abacked Under48c3,412$1,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,774.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x441a…9e3dbacked Under48c3,397$1,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,766.44475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+53.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b6b…0ce9backed Under48c3,366$1,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,750.32450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…a2d4backed Under48c3,366$1,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,750.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d63…25ccbacked Under48c3,365$1,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x178e…b28cbacked Under48c3,362$1,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,748.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37f6…7449backed Under48c3,352$1,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,743.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf515…cf74backed Under48c3,325$1,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,729580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+60.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfaf9…4f54backed Over51c3,325$1,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,695.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7ad…5073backed Over52c3,322$1,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,727.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bde…1bdfbacked Over52c3,322$1,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,727.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b4a…0e39backed Over52c3,321$1,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,726.92450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x888c…4058backed Over52c3,312$1,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,722.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc466…1967backed Over52c3,312$1,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,722.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff44…da8abacked Over52c3,311$1,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,721.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77e0…ddd8backed Over52c3,302$1,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,717.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f80…d89dbacked Over52c3,301$1,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,716.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d14…c454backed Over52c3,268$1,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf80…f736backed Under48c3,266$1,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,698.32475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e07…617fbacked Under48c3,265$1,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,697.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ab4…dfb7backed Under48c3,232$1,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,680.64683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+66.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa694…0a2abacked Over52c3,232$1,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,680.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f08…ed8ebacked Over52c3,222$1,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,675.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f0b…c419backed Over52c3,215$1,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,671.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9c3…3067backed Under48c3,212$1,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,670.24580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+57.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ec…dc81backed Under48c3,211$1,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,669.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade8…a0dcbacked Over52c3,211$1,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,669.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf45…1f1cbacked Over52c3,211$1,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,669.72560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.