TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$135,204
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$135,714

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,204 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under53c6,280$3,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,970.389,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over46c5,336$2,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,468.742,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0b2…d013backed Over48c3,866$1,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,855.6820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa52b…d910backed Under52c3,727$1,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,788.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28f4…704dbacked Under52c3,708$1,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,779.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa28c…1ad3backed Under52c3,700$1,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,776250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cde…0d29backed Over48c3,699$1,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,775.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf751…e84bbacked Over48c3,692$1,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,772.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8eb0…061bbacked Over48c3,662$1,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,757.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e9e…c380backed Under52c3,655$1,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,754.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb0d…e952backed Under52c3,645$1,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3824…48e5backed Over48c3,636$1,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,745.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5445…2f3dbacked Under52c3,636$1,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,745.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea00…06c2backed Under52c3,636$1,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,745.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e2…b2bcbacked Under52c3,622$1,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,738.56580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+57%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea12…730ebacked Over48c3,619$1,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,737.1220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d10…de52backed Under52c3,615$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,735.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fd7…a92dbacked Under52c3,614$1,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,734.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8f4…7d58backed Under52c3,606$1,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,730.88580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+56.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xceed…5b1ebacked Over48c3,478$1,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,669.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ba5…c41dbacked Over48c3,478$1,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,669.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebd3…a987backed Over48c3,478$1,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,669.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4126…2632backed Over48c3,478$1,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,669.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57f8…29d0backed Under52c3,478$1,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,669.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb94…db8dbacked Over48c3,469$1,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,665.1220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cda…dcd7backed Over48c3,468$1,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,664.6420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf370…f58cbacked Over48c3,458$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,659.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x24cb…543dbacked Over48c3,455$1,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,658.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf499…d444backed Over48c3,455$1,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,658.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce72…0503backed Over48c3,449$1,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,655.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd11…5d5fbacked Over48c3,414$1,639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,638.72450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedc3…4b83backed Under52c3,404$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e1e…f2b1backed Under52c3,404$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb039…6a02backed Over48c3,245$1,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,557.6475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+44.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf714…6921backed Over48c3,244$1,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,557.1220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b9…2c5abacked Over48c3,218$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,544.6420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6542…8469backed Under52c3,214$1,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,542.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa733…80d6backed Over48c3,213$1,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,542.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8af…7420backed Under52c3,212$1,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,541.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b60…8ccdbacked Under52c3,202$1,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,536.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0104…71f6backed Under52c3,202$1,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,536.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72f4…a11cbacked Under52c3,131$1,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,502.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x780e…e0aebacked Under52c3,101$1,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,488.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa0e…b9c8backed Over48c3,068$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,472.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc72…8f4bbacked Over48c3,037$1,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,457.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x649d…e702backed Under52c3,025$1,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,452250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7e5…434ebacked Over48c3,016$1,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,447.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9cf…ddffbacked Under52c3,015$1,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9abd…b788backed Under52c3,011$1,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,445.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a56…d101backed Under52c2,911$1,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,397.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9925…94f5backed Under52c2,828$1,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,357.44475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x73ba…a60dbacked Over48c2,439$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47a5…25fcbacked Under52c2,212$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,061.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefce…f0d5backed Over48c2,095$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c6a…3473backed Under52c2,071$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.082100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbbc…b2b2backed Over48c2,049$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc5…b83abacked Under58c2,025$1,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.962846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbeff…e09bbacked Under52c2,011$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5f7…8598backed Under52c1,988$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.24475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+46.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26c6…ddf6backed Over48c1,966$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91d5…e679backed Under52c1,922$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.56580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+58.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29e1…9f87backed Over48c1,780$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over42c1,741$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.1456646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14ad…d26bbacked Over48c1,717$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x537f…bd17backed Over48c1,402$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf51d…c0a5backed Under52c1,391$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb40a…bb33backed Over48c1,370$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77f0…612bbacked Under52c1,366$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e2…a71ebacked Under52c1,366$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Under54c1,363$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.3221250.5%107 W · 105 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5c5…f8e1backed Over48c1,355$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab7b…e775backed Under52c1,345$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6912…8d60backed Over48c1,341$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.6830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6318…d8f3backed Over48c1,313$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e0e…24a8backed Over48c1,305$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6df9…483ebacked Under52c1,302$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30b8…0792backed Under52c1,295$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.6580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+60.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Over47c1,268$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.9658347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf881…f9f8backed Under52c1,244$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.123100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x22f1…9befbacked Over48c1,236$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd02d…32a3backed Over48c1,234$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.3230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb705…0138backed Under52c1,233$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c20…7f9ebacked Under52c1,225$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8f4…597dbacked Under52c1,223$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.04560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa6…0b39backed Over48c1,222$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbc8…1e5bbacked Over48c1,212$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b1b…8ef0backed Over48c1,212$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.7630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x683a…d186backed Under52c1,205$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.4580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+57.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a85…9f9bbacked Under52c1,129$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4f7…c6aabacked Over48c1,122$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.5630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over24c1,033$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.688,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over44c939.64$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.822,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Under53c679.25$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.257862.8%49 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over43c556.38$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.973,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4bd7…373ebacked Under60c503$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.69350.5%47 W · 46 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Under61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.832347.1%152 W · 171 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over48c485$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.81,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over39c476.87$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1863,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over45c468.75$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.942,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad08…67a5backed Under77c449$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.271060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.