TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$199,829
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$199,622

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,829 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bd7…373ebacked Under50c53,701$26,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,828.239350.5%47 W · 46 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44d4…1970backed Under53c20,405$10,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,626.6516752.1%87 W · 80 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over50c18,992$9,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,4965,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over48c13,521$6,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,480.232,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Over50c12,805$6,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,374.4524045.4%109 W · 131 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed Over49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,90011653.4%62 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe256…1f43backed Under51c8,657$4,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,241.861163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over50c8,409$4,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,166.299,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over51c8,000$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,079.991,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dee…3d1bbacked Over53c6,492$3,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4284654.3%25 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over49c6,407$3,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,133.23,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over51c6,300$3,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,212.9958449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over52c5,553$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90065750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Under50c4,982$2,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,515.6442648.1%205 W · 221 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf154…27e3backed Under49c4,786$2,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,440.719051.1%46 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under51c4,478$2,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,194.1477348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe855…fba9backed Under51c4,269$2,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,091.631163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over49c4,123$2,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,020.271,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Under49c4,082$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.6338750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.992,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x901f…74e9backed Over53c3,361$1,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,781.5910046%46 W · 54 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under47c3,213$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.111,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Under50c3,169$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,569.2732150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd2b…7f04backed Over49c3,100$1,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5198348.2%40 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Over50c3,086$1,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,542.9666646.8%312 W · 354 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6827…26fdbacked Over24c3,022$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.883641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc5…b83abacked Over53c3,000$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5802846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18d5…af59backed Under51c2,569$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,258.631457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Under48c2,333$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,213.3347856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under51c2,275$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.5170246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over53c2,264$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2003756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00024450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…47efbacked Under48c1,940$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008.810642.5%45 W · 61 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under50c1,411$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.56,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d53…eb1abacked Over50c1,280$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6404362.8%27 W · 16 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Under51c1,273$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.6719445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Under48c1,200$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62435749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Over47c1,194$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.3117042.4%72 W · 98 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over47c1,191$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.772,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Over53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53022648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over50c970.27$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.033,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Over54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50027158.3%158 W · 113 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Under48c851.6$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.111351.3%58 W · 55 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over44c835.54$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.628,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over50c810$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4052,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed Over49c763.93$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.332751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over53c643$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.791,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9698…de01backed Over49c606.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30026757.3%153 W · 114 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37a9…591fbacked Over53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9d…e71abacked Over53c564.75$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.3220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26532450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over52c479$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.082,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Over4c424.09$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9618835.1%66 W · 122 L+24.5wins+0.13per pick22cpaid+116.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xf3ef…7be6backed Over47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1887648.7%37 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Under47c380$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.435744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ac5…8861backed Over53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4eb2…8083backed Over53c376.6$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.62050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ce2…0103backed Over53c376.22$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick70cpaid-51.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over49c298.27$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.1591148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d20…1f58backed Over52c254.96$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.58742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05e6…8b14backed Over40c248.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5264…54cebacked Under54c243.15$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.854839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over29c242.05$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9955846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over50c240$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57c6…fde6backed Over51c227.45$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1162835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd38…50c3backed Over62c225.81$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1402450%12 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf782…6849backed Over47c207.35$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4313750.4%69 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10616740.1%67 W · 100 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over52c192.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063447.5%301 W · 333 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36f6…db6bbacked Over35c180$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Over47c171.26$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3653149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55aa…4f8ebacked Under54c167.77$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.998344.6%37 W · 46 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Over52c153$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5641048.3%198 W · 212 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c142.56$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.444,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Over50c121.1$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5524955.8%139 W · 110 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6045146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64aa…7f42backed Over51c117.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605749.1%28 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Over48c114.94$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0953043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3754…2d4ebacked Over61c100.38$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.319150.5%46 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61bf…9862backed Under54c88.59$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.754652.2%24 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5acf…0df2backed Over49c86.7$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.816241.9%26 W · 36 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-22.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over36c85.67$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.843,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over45c76.36$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.364,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bc4…7a41backed Under54c75.72$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.833946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b06…10a7backed Over53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408558.8%50 W · 35 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Over49c67.51$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0338347%180 W · 203 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc79f…d270backed Under53c65.12$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3612752%66 W · 61 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Over51c62.38$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1276250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x60df…7092backed Under54c61.11$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1111752.1%61 W · 56 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Over51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.628243.3%122 W · 160 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over50c59.79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.691,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1349…dc1fbacked Over52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308851.1%45 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Under77c57$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1724330.5%74 W · 169 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x30ad…6a69backed Under54c54.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2320149.8%100 W · 101 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73ee…5d16backed Under54c51.19$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.556346%29 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7166…cd31backed Under54c50.96$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.447846.2%36 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.565855.6%366 W · 292 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Over51c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.532352.6%170 W · 153 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.