TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7b06…10a7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
142
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT8558.8%50 W · 35 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$100.9
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Hawks (-6.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
76ers vs. Hawksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Wizards (-3.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+108.3%+$54.17
Spread: Heat (-12.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Hornets vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+92.3%+$92.31
Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Clippers (-7.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+127.3%+$63.64
Trail Blazers vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+97.4%+$48.69
Knicks vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Heat vs. 76ers: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Celtics vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+122.2%+$61.11
Spread: Warriors (-2.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+81.8%+$40.91
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT2356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.48
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.76
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.32
Maple Leafs vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Red Wings vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$143.9
Avalanche vs. Penguinsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$44.75
Oilers vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lightning vs. Sabresbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Stars (-1.5)backed Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Canucks vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+36.2%+$36.24
Golden Knights vs. Red Wingsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+122.2%+$61.11
Penguins vs. Rangersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+117.4%+$58.7
Bruins vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+96.9%+$38.75
Blackhawks vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+117.4%+$46.96
Kings vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$25.57
Islanders vs. Rangersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+75.4%+$33.95
Jets vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+58.7%+$35.24
Blackhawks vs. Wildbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Utah vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+117.4%+$46.96
Ducks vs. Kingsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+132.6%+$60.98
Kings vs. Jetsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 23 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+34.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$39.29
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$35.47
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 4 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panathinaikos vs. KK Crvena Zvezdabacked KK Crvena Zvezda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Panathinaikos vs. Zalgiris Kaunasbacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Panathinaikos vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$27
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Panathinaikosbacked FC Bayern Munchen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+163.2%+$22.81
All 4 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+57.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+215.5%+$37.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Macy Chiasson vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Chiasson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.