Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Manhattan Jaspers (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ddebc0e880a1498cc643d7b479169b5007c553d8348be921e4753fc137f3a63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Manhattan Jaspersof Manhattan Jaspers, Niagara Purple Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $717,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $718,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $717,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 52c | 687,100$357,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357,135.63 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Manhattan Jaspers | 48c | 400,000$192,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208,000 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Manhattan Jaspers | 48c | 146,580$70,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,221.7 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Manhattan Jaspers | 48c | 89,995$43,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,797.4 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 48c | 30,000$14,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,500 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d0dfbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 51c | 12,629$6,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,188.13 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 49c | 12,217$5,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,986.25 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 48c | 11,111$5,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,777.72 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 49c | 3,266$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.08 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Manhattan Jaspers | 50c | 2,854$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.66 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Manhattan Jaspers | 52c | 2,008$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 52c | 1,523$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.82 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Manhattan Jaspers | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 52c | 865.38$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.38 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…a080backed Manhattan Jaspers | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa04e…376abacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 49c | 612.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.08 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Manhattan Jaspers | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 49c | 501$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.97 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Manhattan Jaspers | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 52c | 423.72$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.72 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 52c | 385.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.26 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82a…cc74backed Manhattan Jaspers | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Manhattan Jaspers | 52c | 369.23$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.23 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x650a…e30fbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 51c | 330.37$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.17 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Manhattan Jaspers | 51c | 307.84$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.84 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Manhattan Jaspers | 53c | 245.28$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.28 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed Manhattan Jaspers | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Manhattan Jaspers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b06…10a7backed Manhattan Jaspers | 52c | 163.46$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…bc84backed Manhattan Jaspers | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…86b2backed Manhattan Jaspers | 52c | 114.3$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Manhattan Jaspers | 48c | 100.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.26 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…220cbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Manhattan Jaspers | 51c | 99.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89ae…ae58backed Manhattan Jaspers | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…0ac2backed Manhattan Jaspers | 50c | 88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +6.9wins | +0.38per pick | 50cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Manhattan Jaspers | 49c | 84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Manhattan Jaspers | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 49c | 53.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 51c | 44.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x62cd…238cbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…7afcbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 52c | 40.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x780c…7921backed Manhattan Jaspers | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1afdbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Manhattan Jaspers | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 49c | 36.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Manhattan Jaspers | 49c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Manhattan Jaspers | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Manhattan Jaspers | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 51c | 19.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Manhattan Jaspers (-5.5)this page
- Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Manhattan JaspersManhattan Jaspers won
- Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Manhattan Jaspers: O/U 142.5Over won
- Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Manhattan Jaspers: O/U 143.5Over won
- Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Manhattan Jaspers: O/U 144.5Over won
- Spread: Manhattan Jaspers (-6.5)Manhattan Jaspers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.