Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Manhattan Jaspers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ad74675ae01c2d447744d337d985e6ba51843ce2ac638a56f089eb77171347e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Manhattan Jaspersof Niagara Purple Eagles, Manhattan Jaspers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,667
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,667 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 21c | 2,528$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.88 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…29ebbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 79c | 1,402$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.4 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 28c | 1,285$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.91 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 70c | 1,062$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.15 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…6dd0backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 54c | 1,050$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 36c | 1,019$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.15 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 56c | 998.59$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.55 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Manhattan Jaspers | 52c | 609.14$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.99 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 30c | 450.06$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.02 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed Manhattan Jaspers | 61c | 397.84$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.62 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 50cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 72c | 377.24$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.26 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Manhattan Jaspers | 77c | 367$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 74c | 268$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.58 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Manhattan Jaspers | 79c | 252$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f5…8be3backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 43c | 232.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Manhattan Jaspers | 67c | 199.24$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.85 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 79c | 186$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 44c | 185$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Manhattan Jaspers | 57c | 176.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.66 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 71c | 133.68$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Manhattan Jaspers | 56c | 130$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 34c | 122.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2722…697abacked Manhattan Jaspers | 72c | 117.14$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…ca11backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 35c | 102.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 43c | 96.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 34c | 84.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Manhattan Jaspers | 72c | 78.44$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Manhattan Jaspers | 72c | 69.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 61c | 57.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 27c | 56.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2d88backed Manhattan Jaspers | 53c | 48.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3493…47bcbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 31c | 47.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb343…9813backed Manhattan Jaspers | 57c | 47.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9443…dd60backed Manhattan Jaspers | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Niagara Purple Eagles | 35c | 31.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Manhattan Jaspers | 68c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb74a…8cd9backed Manhattan Jaspers | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Niagara Purple Eagles | 41c | 26.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5936…6e0dbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 77cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…7afcbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 71c | 21.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…1511backed Manhattan Jaspers | 78c | 20.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Manhattan Jaspers | 70c | 18.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Manhattan Jaspers | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Manhattan Jaspersthis page
- Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Manhattan Jaspers: O/U 142.5Over won
- Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Manhattan Jaspers: O/U 143.5Over won
- Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Manhattan Jaspers: O/U 144.5Over won
- Spread: Manhattan Jaspers (-5.5)Manhattan Jaspers won
- Spread: Manhattan Jaspers (-6.5)Manhattan Jaspers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.