TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9443…dd60

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 59 out of 100; worst NBA at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1984.2%16 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick66cpaid+32.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+111.4%+$111.42
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$39.66
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+91.4%+$45.69
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$36.52
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$12.7
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$44.93
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$38.11
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$47.37
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$34.09
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$48.95
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.3wins-0.25per pick56cpaid-48.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Heat (-6.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Wizards vs. Kings: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Wizards vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Knicks vs. Kings: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+40.8%+$4.49
Nuggets vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Heat vs. Thunder: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+78.6%+$55
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Raptors vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+104.1%+$41.63
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-38.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flames vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Canucks vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Golden Knights vs. Kings: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+105.8%+$105.8
Flyers vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Senators vs. Rangersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+88.7%+$53.21
Stars vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+122.2%+$48.89
Hurricanes vs. Blues: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Stars vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Blue Jackets vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Stars vs. Sharksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+51.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Bearcats vs. UCF Knights: O/U 150.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Northern Kentucky Norse (-3.5)backed Northern Kentucky Norse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Manhattan Jaspersbacked Manhattan Jaspers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+66.7%+$16.67
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles: O/U 157.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+85.2%+$34.07
Villanova Wildcats vs. Marquette Golden Eaglesbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+63.9%+$19.82
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+202%+$40.39
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-19.5)backed Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+102.4%+$17.4
Wright State Raiders vs. Detroit Titans: O/U 148.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+92.3%+$92.31
All 8 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+53.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+48.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick70cpaid-57.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+37.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google dip to $310 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+58.7%+$117.46
Will Google reach $340 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+54.2%+$54.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtic FC vs. Dundee United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+100%+$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Lille OSC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Flavio Cobollibacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.