NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Blues: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5d3f7541fb96880b9489bce0400dde0dcf9cd1289c473b39c595a338e44e24d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,189
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Under | 55c | 67,283$37,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,052.21 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 45c | 24,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 12,210$5,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,392.7 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 44c | 11,196$4,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,918.82 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 45c | 5,688$2,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,552.09 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 56c | 4,464$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.16 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 44c | 4,140$1,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,821.7 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 44c | 3,307$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.55 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 56c | 2,679$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.57 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 45c | 2,618$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.1 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 45c | 1,912$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.44 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Over | 45c | 1,851$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 44c | 1,705$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 45c | 1,166$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.7 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Over | 45c | 1,135$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.76 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd2…7a7fbacked Over | 45c | 913.1$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 56c | 899.98$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.99 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 44c | 782.19$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.16 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 45c | 723$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.77 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde18…83bcbacked Over | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3f…b49cbacked Over | 22c | 601.92$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…a815backed Over | 46c | 433.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 75c | 299.17$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.01 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 72c | 289.73$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.04 | 210 | 40.5%85 W · 125 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Over | 43c | 278.23$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.64 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Over | 45c | 240$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 162 | 54.9%89 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 54c | 233.62$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 44c | 223.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.31 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Over | 45c | 221.11$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 480 | 46.9%225 W · 255 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 129 | 43.4%56 W · 73 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca6d…492bbacked Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 43c | 92.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9443…dd60backed Over | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Over | 44c | 85.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 44c | 79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a3…4f47backed Over | 44c | 76.66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Over | 45c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 45c | 69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 57c | 68$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Under | 57c | 53.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95f…357fbacked Over | 45c | 47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4085…583fbacked Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c46…6a2abacked Under | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 78c | 32.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4977…8fd6backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 177 | 54.2%96 W · 81 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Blues: O/U 6.5this page
- Hurricanes vs. BluesBlues won
- Hurricanes vs. Blues: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Blues won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.