NHL · resolved market
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fc35e9b2f51708bc3c48feefdd06aee08e5232d780f5e65277c879b92dc2bf3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bluesof Hurricanes, Blues
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,085
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,085 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Blues | 60c | 1,276$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.2 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Hurricanes | 40c | 1,210$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.36 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fff…885dbacked Hurricanes | 39c | 939$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1d…6fd1backed Blues | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Hurricanes | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Blues | 60c | 291.5$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac52…dbd0backed Blues | 61c | 290$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f70…e81dbacked Blues | 61c | 280$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blues | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Hurricanes | 43c | 196.44$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.47 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Blues | 60c | 166.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Blues | 60c | 166.16$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Blues | 63c | 111.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…6573backed Hurricanes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 210 | 42.4%89 W · 121 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Hurricanes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Blues | 63c | 80.95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Blues | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Hurricanes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Hurricanes | 40c | 59.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 366 | 48.9%179 W · 187 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd3…c5f4backed Hurricanes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Blues | 61c | 46.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Hurricanes | 38c | 38.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…99e5backed Hurricanes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Hurricanes | 37c | 35.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hurricanes | 37c | 34.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Blues | 63c | 33.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Blues | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)this page
- Hurricanes vs. BluesBlues won
- Hurricanes vs. Blues: O/U 5.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Blues: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.