NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Blues: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46b0372ac313f739dd59b5cb3bafa4a221a960d99b0f47747c41986d07913ada
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,934
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,934 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 3,537$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,986.99 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 43c | 1,946$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.34 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 57c | 1,757$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.81 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 56c | 1,005$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.66 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 56c | 800$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 57c | 556$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.37 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Over | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Under | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 43c | 444$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.08 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked Over | 57c | 350.81$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.96 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 43c | 290$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.3 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Over | 57c | 263.11$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.97 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 49c | 262.91$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.54 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 208.08$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.04 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 58c | 204$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.69 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 57c | 175.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07bd…5d79backed Over | 47c | 147$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 58c | 146.64$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.12 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 57c | 139.16$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.32 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 53c | 132$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…9871backed Over | 56c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce70…0be2backed Over | 57c | 87.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60d…0cccbacked Over | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…54e2backed Over | 58c | 77.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -4.3wins | -0.39per pick | 48cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Over | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f1…0f6bbacked Under | 48c | 53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4842…b2f4backed Over | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeba…d2d8backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…019dbacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e42…8f95backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 43c | 34.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Over | 55c | 34.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 56c | 29.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 42c | 28.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 210 | 40.5%85 W · 125 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 57c | 27.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3945…7077backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…99e5backed Over | 57c | 26.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 53c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d19…e2fdbacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Blues: O/U 5.5this page
- Hurricanes vs. BluesBlues won
- Hurricanes vs. Blues: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Blues won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.