NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Kings: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c9bbd91ad9b6d3d0cf4c61e7205426caebc0ab67bd53602114a11e115df00b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 53c | 31,826$17,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,823.11 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 53c | 21,154$11,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,840.7 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 54c | 12,994$7,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,990.32 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 11,108$5,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,195.71 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 10,743$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 10,250$4,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,753.08 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 44c | 10,000$4,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,425 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 54c | 6,496$3,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,007.45 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 43c | 5,850$2,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,515.16 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7318…9a60backed Over | 50c | 5,800$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 5,762$2,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,670.12 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 46c | 3,288$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb115…cd61backed Under | 50c | 3,200$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…4421backed Over | 50c | 2,863$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 2,750$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.83 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cb…9817backed Over | 50c | 2,745$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea17…a55dbacked Under | 50c | 2,734$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42bc…860cbacked Under | 50c | 2,600$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb49a…2d96backed Over | 50c | 2,537$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…700abacked Under | 50c | 2,534$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7d…afb3backed Under | 50c | 2,476$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…4d2cbacked Under | 50c | 2,378$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 27c | 2,131$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.32 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Under | 47c | 2,107$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.36 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d0…7b41backed Over | 50c | 1,977$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Under | 46c | 1,788$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.48 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3915…b03ebacked Under | 45c | 1,702$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.9 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 46c | 1,530$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.42 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Under | 46c | 1,478$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.88 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 46c | 1,315$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.52 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 54c | 1,177$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.42 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 46c | 1,109$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.67 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 55c | 925$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.54 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 765.69$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.56 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Under | 46c | 737$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.02 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca0c…9c40backed Over | 54c | 635.94$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.67 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 44c | 589.84$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.53 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 46c | 399$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.54 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…a928backed Under | 51c | 393.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 56c | 388.19$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.8 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 44c | 350$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 58c | 345.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.52 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 53c | 330.41$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.29 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Under | 47c | 310.94$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.14 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe020…85a2backed Under | 48c | 309.49$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…3164backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 54c | 280$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd311…ecccbacked Over | 51c | 199$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.51 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28fb…f005backed Under | 50c | 199$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x825a…9f6fbacked Under | 50c | 192$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe268…0573backed Over | 51c | 192$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef3…1a90backed Over | 51c | 188$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc868…9f66backed Under | 50c | 188$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Under | 45c | 163$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.35 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…cea7backed Under | 45c | 144.19$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.89 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9443…dd60backed Under | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Under | 45c | 122$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 336 | 53.9%181 W · 155 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Over | 54c | 111.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…565fbacked Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 555 | 33.5%186 W · 369 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 47c | 97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 62c | 68.58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 52c | 61.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 65c | 54.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b1…e667backed Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Under | 44c | 53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…c64cbacked Under | 47c | 51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 44c | 49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Under | 47c | 46.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33ef…ee51backed Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 46c | 45.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ae…85d1backed Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Under | 49c | 41.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked Under | 44c | 37.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 112 | 58.9%66 W · 46 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4d…9371backed Under | 47c | 33.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 46c | 32.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 45c | 30.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x152b…9430backed Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2de5…4a03backed Under | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x414a…597ebacked Over | 57c | 21.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e51…741cbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Kings: O/U 231.5this page
- 1H Spread: Kings (-4.5)Kings won
- Spread: Kings (-6.5)Kings won
- Spread: Kings (-7.5)Kings won
- Wizards vs. KingsKings won
- Wizards vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineKings won
- Wizards vs. Kings: O/U 229.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Kings: O/U 232.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Kings: O/U 233.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Kings: O/U 234.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Kings: O/U 235.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.