NBA · resolved market
Spread: Kings (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d684e2d3294b3dfcb465a3a9a7740ab317eaeafc8cc8995ee35a142c465b399
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Kings, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $390,614
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $392,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $390,614 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Kings | 49c | 332,625$164,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168,244.92 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Wizards | 51c | 316,935$160,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160,136.6 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Wizards | 52c | 8,517$4,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,428.6 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Kings | 48c | 7,350$3,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,805.7 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Wizards | 51c | 7,120$3,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,652.4 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Kings | 49c | 5,182$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,632.37 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Kings | 48c | 4,819$2,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,505.73 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Wizards | 51c | 4,589$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340.29 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Wizards | 53c | 3,610$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.06 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Wizards | 52c | 3,546$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.93 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Wizards | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Wizards | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 33c | 2,495$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.27 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 48c | 2,415$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.65 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings | 47c | 2,188$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.66 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Wizards | 52c | 2,136$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.72 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48c8…72a4backed Wizards | 52c | 2,112$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.24 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Wizards | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Kings | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0539…0529backed Kings | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.99 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kings | 48c | 1,857$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.96 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…bd7dbacked Wizards | 52c | 1,800$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…314abacked Wizards | 45c | 1,450$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.3 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Kings | 48c | 1,206$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.29 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Wizards | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Kings | 48c | 1,192$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.83 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Kings | 51c | 1,040$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.01 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e1…dcf6backed Wizards | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…4332backed Wizards | 51c | 999.99$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Kings | 50c | 998.85$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.85 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Wizards | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Wizards | 52c | 859.58$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.75 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Wizards | 53c | 792.55$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Kings | 50c | 720$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ae…bf54backed Wizards | 52c | 605.16$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.68 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Wizards | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a2…0a6abacked Kings | 50c | 596.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.67 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Kings | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Wizards | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Wizards | 24c | 420$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Kings | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Wizards | 52c | 376.67$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.87 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Wizards | 50c | 337.16$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.53 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Kings | 50c | 332.16$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.08 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Kings | 49c | 307$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.57 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236a…1a3ebacked Wizards | 52c | 300.13$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.65 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Wizards | 52c | 296.08$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.86 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Wizards | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Kings | 64c | 294$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.84 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Kings | 49c | 245$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.95 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Wizards | 51c | 242.27$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.56 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Wizards | 50c | 240.5$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Kings | 52c | 230.89$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.89 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Wizards | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Wizards | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 304 | 52.6%160 W · 144 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Kings | 49c | 210$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 237 | 48.1%114 W · 123 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Wizards | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Wizards | 51c | 203.92$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Kings | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Wizards | 12c | 200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Kings | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 304 | 54.9%167 W · 137 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Kings | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Kings | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Wizards | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eaf…a69abacked Wizards | 51c | 198$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.98 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf535…975cbacked Kings | 50c | 198$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Wizards | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Wizards | 52c | 192.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ed…a870backed Wizards | 52c | 187.38$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.55 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 54c | 170$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Kings | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Wizards | 24c | 161.32$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 175 | 27.4%48 W · 127 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Wizards | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4339…beeebacked Wizards | 52c | 142.31$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -6.8wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…398fbacked Kings | 64c | 136$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Wizards | 52c | 130$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Wizards | 51c | 126.85$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.79 | 244 | 54.1%132 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…9b0fbacked Wizards | 52c | 123.08$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe681…6e1ebacked Wizards | 17c | 115.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Wizards | 50c | 109.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.49 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Kings | 53c | 106.19$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.09 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Wizards | 32c | 105.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Wizards | 51c | 101.93$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.03 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…67cbbacked Kings | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Kings | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Kings | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -14.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Kings | 48c | 99.95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x853d…81f9backed Wizards | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Wizards | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 385 | 45.7%176 W · 209 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…3c17backed Wizards | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Wizards | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 358 | 44.1%158 W · 200 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Kings | 49c | 96.04$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.98 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…5d6fbacked Wizards | 52c | 93.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 231 | 44.2%102 W · 129 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…9ae0backed Kings | 52c | 92.31$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 383 | 47%180 W · 203 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Wizards | 28c | 86.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Wizards | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 324 | 50%162 W · 162 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e68…3215backed Wizards | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1485…f4b2backed Wizards | 55c | 73.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Kings | 50c | 71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…80d2backed Wizards | 52c | 69.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kings (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Kings (-4.5)Kings won
- Spread: Kings (-6.5)Kings won
- Wizards vs. KingsKings won
- Wizards vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineKings won
- Wizards vs. Kings: O/U 229.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Kings: O/U 231.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Kings: O/U 232.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Kings: O/U 233.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Kings: O/U 234.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Kings: O/U 235.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.