NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Kings: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac7ad2e525537b8ce0950655bf98e10cabf55c21f72cf99f24681f8107b45aa0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $192,963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $193,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $192,963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 52c | 57,051$29,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,130.27 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 31,174$14,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,651.57 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…1970backed Under | 51c | 27,852$14,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,165.31 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Over | 53c | 20,624$10,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,693.39 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Over | 58c | 17,368$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,368.19 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Under | 45c | 14,962$6,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,732.7 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 50c | 13,162$6,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,564.31 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 12,854$5,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,945.63 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 47c | 12,000$5,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,640 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 52c | 8,612$4,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,109.06 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 8,595$4,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,093.73 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 47c | 4,497$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,113.59 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Over | 55c | 3,879$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,745.45 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 3,613$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,797.25 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 54c | 3,594$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.92 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 46c | 3,000$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 55c | 1,932$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.4 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 47c | 1,909$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.56 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Under | 49c | 1,678$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.22 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 51c | 1,565$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.16 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 1,540$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.41 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.24 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 1,053$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.97 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 53c | 1,015$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.05 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 902.07$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.49 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 900$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 808$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.18 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 49c | 788.01$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.34 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 46c | 770.6$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.29 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 52c | 685.81$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.19 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 51c | 601.56$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.75 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…749fbacked Under | 52c | 320.92$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.88 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 52c | 299.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca0c…9c40backed Over | 51c | 260.76$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.82 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…cea7backed Under | 47c | 212.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.42 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 48c | 179.96$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.38 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 49c | 150.35$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.67 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Over | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Over | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Over | 52c | 122$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.56 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda87…dd25backed Over | 53c | 119.06$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…9277backed Under | 48c | 114.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…d270backed Under | 52c | 114.56$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.27 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a7…96f9backed Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 50c | 107.52$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.64 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aab…d612backed Over | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…d709backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 51c | 97.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Over | 52c | 96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 54c | 93.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 53c | 81.51$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 53c | 81.51$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 48c | 77.26$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…adc2backed Under | 48c | 71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…b936backed Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Under | 47c | 62.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60df…7092backed Under | 52c | 50.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked Under | 48c | 49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Over | 52c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Under | 48c | 41.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 336 | 53.9%181 W · 155 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…f2cabacked Under | 47c | 37.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Under | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed Under | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2de5…4a03backed Under | 48c | 33.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Over | 52c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 43c | 30.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed Over | 53c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Under | 48c | 29.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 448 | 44.2%198 W · 250 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over | 54c | 27.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Under | 47c | 26.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed Under | 48c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6a69backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…c6ecbacked Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4390…e842backed Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed Under | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…7b2ebacked Under | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Under | 50c | 21.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9431…6270backed Under | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…77fdbacked Under | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Kings: O/U 232.5this page
- 1H Spread: Kings (-4.5)Kings won
- Spread: Kings (-6.5)Kings won
- Spread: Kings (-7.5)Kings won
- Wizards vs. KingsKings won
- Wizards vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineKings won
- Wizards vs. Kings: O/U 229.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Kings: O/U 231.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Kings: O/U 233.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Kings: O/U 234.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Kings: O/U 235.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.