NBA · resolved market
Spread: Kings (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f2d1ab000a6d49cff23e0b2a7606b1ce1e0f3138cc3089f71908bd1996010f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Kings, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,599
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,599 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb657…568dbacked Kings | 53c | 5,600$2,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,631.99 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Kings | 52c | 5,325$2,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,568.14 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Wizards | 47c | 4,996$2,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,361.94 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25fe…7283backed Wizards | 47c | 3,397$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Wizards | 49c | 2,813$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.6 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kings | 53c | 2,450$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.54 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd53…fc2bbacked Kings | 53c | 2,352$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Wizards | 47c | 2,183$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Wizards | 48c | 2,179$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.39 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Wizards | 49c | 2,171$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0565…8372backed Wizards | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…f7aabacked Kings | 53c | 2,109$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.3 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf71f…3cafbacked Kings | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…1ddcbacked Kings | 53c | 1,896$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 51c | 1,779$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.73 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf9…edd3backed Wizards | 47c | 1,722$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…700abacked Kings | 54c | 1,688$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cb…9817backed Wizards | 46c | 1,687$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…4d2cbacked Kings | 54c | 1,678$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea17…a55dbacked Kings | 54c | 1,668$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb49a…2d96backed Wizards | 46c | 1,666$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…4421backed Wizards | 46c | 1,654$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7d…afb3backed Kings | 54c | 1,653$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccb…3c7abacked Kings | 53c | 1,534$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d0…7b41backed Wizards | 46c | 1,520$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Kings | 53c | 1,415$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.09 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wizards | 47c | 1,414$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.18 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1866…7e16backed Wizards | 47c | 1,332$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 42c | 1,284$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.11 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Kings | 52c | 1,275$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.87 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7746…7912backed Wizards | 47c | 1,262$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.14 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Wizards | 46c | 1,137$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.02 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Kings | 54c | 1,112$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.52 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ce…10f8backed Kings | 53c | 1,106$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wizards | 45c | 1,103$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.36 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Wizards | 47c | 1,078$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.86 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e1…dcf6backed Wizards | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b40…4390backed Wizards | 47c | 948$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7898…ef88backed Kings | 53c | 889$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…3a70backed Wizards | 47c | 880$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.6 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Wizards | 48c | 872.91$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Wizards | 46c | 739.09$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.94 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3315…e722backed Wizards | 47c | 706$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ae…bf54backed Kings | 54c | 700$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Wizards | 3c | 697$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Wizards | 47c | 665.23$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.71 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc568…ecb7backed Kings | 55c | 574.55$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.55 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d0f…f3e6backed Kings | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…a928backed Wizards | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -13.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Wizards | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef25…c969backed Kings | 55c | 365.75$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.69 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Wizards | 49c | 326.53$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Kings | 54c | 275.35$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.66 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Wizards | 51c | 243.14$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9c14backed Kings | 55c | 230.85$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.36 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Wizards | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Kings | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e46…25c2backed Kings | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Kings | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2efb…ef8dbacked Kings | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Wizards | 46c | 178.31$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.02 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24a2…0a6abacked Kings | 55c | 172.73$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.73 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Kings | 53c | 165$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.55 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Kings | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Kings | 53c | 145$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.15 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Kings | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e2…3000backed Kings | 54c | 128.15$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.95 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Wizards | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Kings | 54c | 123$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.71 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5c…8645backed Wizards | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.27per pick | 48cpaid | -57%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Wizards | 48c | 119.2$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.21 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Kings | 52c | 108.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.85 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…a266backed Wizards | 48c | 104.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…089abacked Wizards | 48c | 100.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1db…4877backed Wizards | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Wizards | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb94…04f4backed Wizards | 32c | 99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 226 | 33.2%75 W · 151 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Kings | 54c | 96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28d0…815abacked Kings | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Kings | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Kings | 54c | 92.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wizards | 46c | 91.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.29 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Kings | 53c | 89$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Wizards | 42c | 86.93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Kings | 53c | 84.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3854…586abacked Kings | 55c | 83.32$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3e…6a59backed Kings | 54c | 79.2$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Wizards | 46c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Wizards | 23c | 74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Kings | 51c | 71.46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Wizards | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Wizards | 49c | 69.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…461ebacked Wizards | 27c | 67.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Wizards | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Kings | 52c | 57.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Kings | 54c | 54.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d90…cf08backed Wizards | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 199 | 40.7%81 W · 118 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Wizards | 45c | 50.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 574 | 44.1%253 W · 321 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e51…9531backed Kings | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 367 | 51.5%189 W · 178 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Wizards | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Kings (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Kings (-4.5)Kings won
- Spread: Kings (-7.5)Kings won
- Wizards vs. KingsKings won
- Wizards vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineKings won
- Wizards vs. Kings: O/U 229.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Kings: O/U 231.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Kings: O/U 232.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Kings: O/U 233.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Kings: O/U 234.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Kings: O/U 235.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.