NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Kings: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca18662f0e7a4b33bfa561a88236446fe2d8ad32e2a8031bdabd58f01aadde45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $348,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $356,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $348,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777d…5143backed Under | 50c | 100,000$49,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,700 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Under | 53c | 84,782$44,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,840.23 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 66,277$32,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,808.24 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Under | 50c | 50,000$25,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,200 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 51c | 32,157$16,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,766.42 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Over | 50c | 29,785$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,784.84 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,799.99 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 49c | 19,021$9,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,624.45 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 47c | 16,811$7,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,909.59 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Over | 50c | 15,600$7,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,792.99 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 53c | 13,793$7,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,310.09 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Over | 47c | 12,766$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,765.96 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over | 50c | 12,052$6,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,026 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 47c | 11,535$5,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,113.5 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Over | 47c | 10,967$5,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,838.26 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 9,979$4,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,183.11 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Over | 50c | 9,078$4,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.57 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Over | 51c | 8,833$4,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,351.41 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,239.99 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 51c | 6,638$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,278.28 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7973…34d4backed Over | 51c | 5,247$2,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,571.06 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked Over | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.98 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9c…74b3backed Under | 49c | 3,910$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915.81 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed Under | 53c | 3,800$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 52c | 2,871$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.1 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Over | 47c | 2,109$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.51 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 52c | 1,994$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.98 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 51c | 1,632$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.04 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 49c | 1,630$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.01 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 1,614$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.66 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa1…fd2dbacked Under | 52c | 1,612$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…7a01backed Over | 48c | 1,612$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.45 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.4wins | +0.34per pick | 51cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 47c | 1,250$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.35 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Over | 50c | 1,040$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.2 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Over | 50c | 925.42$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.42 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 907.84$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.91 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 49c | 828.53$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.22 | 266 | 38.7%103 W · 163 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Over | 47c | 744.68$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.68 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Over | 49c | 738.78$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.78 | 180 | 31.7%57 W · 123 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed Over | 48c | 510$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.2 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 47c | 366$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.98 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 47c | 329.26$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.51 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Over | 51c | 321$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.29 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 288.78$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.5 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 51c | 228.68$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.72 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…a29dbacked Over | 47c | 213.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.98 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc60f…9ea3backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 48 | 72.9%35 W · 13 L | +8.8wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…c068backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 145 | 37.9%55 W · 90 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24a4…86dabacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 57c | 180$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 49c | 160.9$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.38 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…b14cbacked Over | 47c | 115.34$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.13 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Under | 54c | 114$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.83 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 60c | 113.51$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 47c | 112.46$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.6 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 51c | 111$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.34 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…4fc6backed Under | 55c | 110$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 127 | 66.9%85 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 50c | 107.81$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.29 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd725…81dabacked Under | 38c | 106.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 49c | 104.35$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2af0…8473backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ab…c3acbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Under | 56c | 94.91$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.15 | 243 | 63.8%155 W · 88 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 48c | 94.03$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…3cdebacked Over | 47c | 90.83$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ae…bf54backed Under | 55c | 87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03b0…482cbacked Over | 60c | 81.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…bf3dbacked Under | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over | 49c | 65.65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 36c | 64.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 43c | 64.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Over | 47c | 60.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Under | 54c | 57.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Under | 52c | 50.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 49c | 50.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9713…8219backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b27…add3backed Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfab5…2bb4backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e46…957abacked Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02ab…cda4backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…1e75backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x213a…c46dbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8e…34d8backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Kings: O/U 234.5this page
- 1H Spread: Kings (-4.5)Kings won
- Spread: Kings (-6.5)Kings won
- Spread: Kings (-7.5)Kings won
- Wizards vs. KingsKings won
- Wizards vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineKings won
- Wizards vs. Kings: O/U 229.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Kings: O/U 231.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Kings: O/U 232.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Kings: O/U 233.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Kings: O/U 235.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.