TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x213a…c46d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
134
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NFL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 58 out of 100; worst Lol at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST5754.4%31 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+108.3%+$27.08
Timberwolves vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Suns vs. Nets: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Thunder vs. Cavaliersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+49.3%+$12.31
Trail Blazers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Raptors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+81.8%+$20.45
Hornets vs. Nuggets: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Hornets vs. Nuggetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+104.1%+$26.02
Magic vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+28.2%+$7.05
Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+100%+$18.5
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+81.8%+$20.45
Lakers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+110.3%+$27.57
Thunder vs. Heatbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$25.08
Jazz vs. Mavericks: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Wizards vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+42.9%+$10.71
Wizards vs. Kings: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+100%+$25
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Knicks vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+42.9%+$10.71
Hawks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+56.3%+$14.06
Nuggets vs. Mavericks: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Raptors vs. Pacers: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+92.3%+$23.08
Cavaliers vs. 76ersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+96.1%+$18.95
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Devils vs. Flamesbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+92.3%+$23.08
Jets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Sabres vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+56.3%+$14.06
Senators vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+104.1%+$26.02
Kings vs. Ducksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+128.2%+$32.05
Wild vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+122.2%+$30.56
Golden Knights vs. Kingsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Kraken vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+75.4%+$18.86
Islanders vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
Lightning vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Maple Leafs vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Rangers vs. Bruinsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25.43
Islanders vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+88.7%+$26.6
Canucks vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+40.8%+$10.15
Maple Leafs vs. Flyersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+104.1%+$12.85
Sharks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$29.57
Utah vs. Rangersbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+222.6%+$55.65
All 19 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$33.56
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+25%+$6.25
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+47.1%+$11.76
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+42.9%+$10.71
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Heroic (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+37.1%+$19.9
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+75.8%+$25.76
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+58.7%+$17.62
Counter-Strike: FriendlyCampers vs Heroic (BO3)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+40.8%+$10.21
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+38.9%+$9.72
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic (BO3)backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+61.3%+$15.32
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs EYEBALLERS (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$24.2
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+112.8%+$58.29
Will The MongolZ win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.71
All 18 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.26per pick57cpaid-46.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Lol — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$36.91
LoL: DRX vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$89.16
LoL: DRX vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$25
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+51.4%+$25.71
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+44.9%+$11.23
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$25
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$25
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+31.6%+$7.89
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$25
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$25
LoL: DRX Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3)backed KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+54%+$13.51
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$25
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$21
LoL: HMBLE vs P11 Esports (BO1)backed P11 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+177.8%+$70.4
All 16 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+109.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+61.3%+$15.32
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+63.9%+$15.98
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+284.6%+$71.15
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+104.1%+$26.02
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+35.1%+$17.57
All 5 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-59.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+80.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick71cpaid+43.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed RU Saint-Gilloise · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+104.1%+$26.02
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)backed Villarreal CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+35.1%+$13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick66cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$49.7
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+66.7%+$16.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+127.3%+$31.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mikie Sherrill win by >14%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$26.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.