Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Women's: Lulu Sun vs Linda Fruhvirtova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32f2743daea34b224e2ebadbc4054d16b1b224708bdeb1cffa1184a12860e2bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fruhvirtovaof Sun, Fruhvirtova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Sun | 57c | 11,087$6,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,283.16 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Fruhvirtova | 43c | 8,780$3,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,006.67 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Fruhvirtova | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.99 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Fruhvirtova | 46c | 4,700$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,538 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Sun | 0c | 3,807$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sun | 45c | 3,315$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.49 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Sun | 54c | 3,040$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.62 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Fruhvirtova | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Sun | 55c | 2,850$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.5 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Fruhvirtova | 37c | 2,391$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Sun | 57c | 2,006$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.19 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sun | 24c | 1,897$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.56 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fruhvirtova | 50c | 1,087$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.57 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Sun | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Fruhvirtova | 44c | 918.54$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.38 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Sun | 56c | 709.43$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.69 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Fruhvirtova | 44c | 525.27$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.23 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Sun | 58c | 500$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5c…e4f6backed Sun | 54c | 379.63$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -5.1wins | -0.23per pick | 55cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…c864backed Fruhvirtova | 44c | 352.27$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.27 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Fruhvirtova | 74c | 338.87$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.33 | 262 | 44.7%117 W · 145 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Fruhvirtova | 44c | 327$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.12 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Fruhvirtova | 44c | 318.18$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.18 | 425 | 58.8%250 W · 175 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Sun | 56c | 296.65$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.74 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Sun | 15c | 233.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Sun | 55c | 223.55$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.95 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Fruhvirtova | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sun | 17c | 204.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1163…3642backed Sun | 59c | 198$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.58 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Sun | 43c | 186.96$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Sun | 61c | 150.38$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.73 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…9d86backed Fruhvirtova | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x213a…c46dbacked Sun | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1efbbacked Sun | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49d0…785bbacked Fruhvirtova | 41c | 88.29$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.29 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 46cpaid | +91%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Sun | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked Sun | 57c | 62.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 364 | 64.3%234 W · 130 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Fruhvirtova | 39c | 49.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Sun | 22c | 49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Sun | 34c | 48.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -16.1wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Fruhvirtova | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Sun | 34c | 44.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Sun | 73c | 43.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Sun | 24c | 43.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Fruhvirtova | 42c | 42.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f17…9ab3backed Sun | 60c | 33.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 66.3%57 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e9…1587backed Sun | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Sun | 35c | 30.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa68d…e03bbacked Sun | 57c | 29.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6694…22aabacked Fruhvirtova | 71c | 25.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Fruhvirtova | 50c | 23.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Women's: Lulu Sun vs Linda Fruhvirtovathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Sun vs FruhvirtovaFruhvirtova won
- Set Handicap: Sun (-1.5) vs Fruhvirtova (+1.5)Fruhvirtova won
- Sun vs. Fruhvirtova: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.