NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Devils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10ec9c134bf05157e469deaa16dc68d4db81b7bd8e3c13dbfc607483233abba8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Devilsof Kraken, Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,190,530
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,202,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,190,530 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 616 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Kraken | 42c | 530,598$223,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223,410.67 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Devils | 58c | 238,095$138,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,999.9 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Kraken | 42c | 76,412$32,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,093.08 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Devils | 58c | 72,413$42,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,413.46 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Devils | 57c | 61,000$34,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,229.98 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Devils | 57c | 60,000$34,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,799.95 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Devils | 58c | 50,190$29,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,079.8 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Kraken | 42c | 46,416$19,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,605.85 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Devils | 58c | 39,388$22,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,543.14 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Kraken | 0c | 32,233$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.96 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Devils | 58c | 30,184$17,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,666.46 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Devils | 58c | 29,781$17,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,515.34 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Devils | 57c | 29,435$16,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,699.28 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Devils | 58c | 26,919$15,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,306.17 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Kraken | 41c | 26,508$10,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,963.27 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Devils | 58c | 23,902$13,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,038.72 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x181e…1dfcbacked Kraken | 0c | 20,739$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Kraken | 42c | 20,000$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,500 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kraken | 44c | 19,000$8,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,379.98 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Devils | 58c | 18,888$10,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,932.96 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Devils | 58c | 18,018$10,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,487.39 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kraken | 42c | 17,852$7,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,508.24 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Devils | 58c | 17,493$10,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,396.98 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Devils | 58c | 13,666$7,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,739.58 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ea…bb01backed Kraken | 44c | 11,364$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Devils | 59c | 11,000$6,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,490 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Kraken | 43c | 11,000$4,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,730 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed Kraken | 41c | 10,976$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Devils | 58c | 10,484$6,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,423.03 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c44…752ebacked Kraken | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Kraken | 43c | 7,977$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,420 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Devils | 57c | 7,703$4,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,312.28 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Devils | 59c | 7,000$4,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,860 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Kraken | 40c | 6,500$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Devils | 58c | 6,500$3,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,744.99 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Kraken | 39c | 6,489$2,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,545.65 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Devils | 59c | 6,450$3,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,668.35 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Kraken | 43c | 6,000$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Kraken | 42c | 6,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Devils | 58c | 5,933$3,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,491.75 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Devils | 58c | 5,872$3,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,466.41 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kraken | 42c | 5,550$2,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,346.99 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Devils | 60c | 5,457$3,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,203.32 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Kraken | 43c | 5,417$2,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,329.31 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Devils | 58c | 5,179$3,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,171.46 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Devils | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Devils | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Devils | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.95 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Devils | 58c | 4,926$2,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,068.92 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Kraken | 42c | 4,000$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,695 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb28d…83e4backed Devils | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Kraken | 43c | 3,836$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635.12 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Devils | 57c | 3,720$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.6 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Devils | 59c | 3,642$2,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.73 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Devils | 60c | 3,603$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.2 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Kraken | 44c | 3,409$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Devils | 59c | 3,400$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Kraken | 43c | 3,395$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Kraken | 43c | 3,374$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Devils | 58c | 3,361$1,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,397.27 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200c…58eabacked Devils | 58c | 3,163$1,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.37 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed Devils | 58c | 3,136$1,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.54 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Devils | 58c | 3,135$1,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.58 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Devils | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.99 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Devils | 58c | 2,763$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.85 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Devils | 57c | 2,744$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.37 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Kraken | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Kraken | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Devils | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.98 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…fbbbbacked Devils | 58c | 2,411$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Devils | 57c | 2,400$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Kraken | 43c | 2,300$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Devils | 57c | 2,290$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.7 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +7.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Devils | 59c | 2,262$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.79 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Kraken | 1c | 2,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Devils | 62c | 2,064$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.56 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Kraken | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Devils | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Kraken | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Kraken | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Devils | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Kraken | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.92 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Devils | 56c | 1,978$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.21 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kraken | 43c | 1,943$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.3 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ae…4d2cbacked Devils | 58c | 1,679$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.58 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…53a9backed Kraken | 42c | 1,606$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.22 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Kraken | 42c | 1,600$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kraken | 39c | 1,600$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.84 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Kraken | 44c | 1,563$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.11 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Kraken | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Kraken | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Kraken | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…607cbacked Kraken | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Devils | 58c | 1,318$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.04 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Kraken | 3c | 1,300$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 107 | 6.5%7 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Kraken | 40c | 1,289$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.6 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ff…24e3backed Devils | 57c | 1,272$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.93 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Devils | 66c | 1,270$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.5 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +15.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Kraken | 42c | 1,258$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.25 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239e…ef98backed Kraken | 40c | 1,208$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kraken vs. Devilsthis page
- Kraken vs. Devils: O/U 5.5Under won
- Kraken vs. Devils: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)Kraken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.