NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Devils: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0234b7075f93087cbded282ac0aa81278c5e9a0c9ac72bb33dc3260843eda88a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,436
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,436 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 55c | 3,038$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.03 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb973…ff16backed Under | 45c | 2,250$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.5 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 45c | 2,041$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.37 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 54c | 1,389$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.13 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c63…bc92backed Over | 53c | 1,380$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df9…642ebacked Over | 53c | 1,380$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…5553backed Over | 53c | 1,380$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50af…73a1backed Over | 53c | 1,380$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8761…bb49backed Over | 53c | 1,380$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c7…103abacked Over | 53c | 1,380$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…9575backed Over | 53c | 1,380$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ba…2d6fbacked Over | 53c | 1,380$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99b2…f492backed Over | 53c | 1,380$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda31…2d21backed Over | 53c | 1,380$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…3e1dbacked Over | 53c | 1,380$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f8…00c8backed Over | 53c | 1,380$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97c…a5c7backed Over | 53c | 1,380$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe037…f0f2backed Over | 53c | 1,380$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8354…fc1cbacked Over | 53c | 1,380$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cc…bb9abacked Over | 53c | 1,380$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ed…b70ebacked Over | 53c | 1,380$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c52…b217backed Over | 53c | 1,380$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb577…3d02backed Over | 53c | 1,380$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…576ebacked Over | 53c | 1,380$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…f823backed Over | 53c | 1,380$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f3…592ebacked Over | 53c | 1,380$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5626…74afbacked Over | 53c | 1,380$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81cc…01bbbacked Over | 53c | 1,380$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…40e4backed Over | 53c | 1,380$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x135c…7af5backed Under | 47c | 1,380$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa449…6acdbacked Under | 47c | 1,380$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…9856backed Under | 47c | 1,380$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce41…78efbacked Under | 47c | 1,380$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa164…a1e1backed Under | 47c | 1,380$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d1…627abacked Under | 47c | 1,380$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a6…5173backed Under | 47c | 1,380$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ec…2242backed Under | 47c | 1,380$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ea…e687backed Under | 47c | 1,380$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968e…a846backed Under | 47c | 1,380$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfc…a91bbacked Under | 47c | 1,380$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe984…07eebacked Under | 47c | 1,380$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1d8cbacked Under | 47c | 1,380$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda7c…dda6backed Under | 47c | 1,380$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcde6…d205backed Under | 47c | 1,380$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9128…d1f2backed Under | 47c | 1,380$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2a…c720backed Under | 47c | 1,380$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c3…ca62backed Under | 47c | 1,380$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa637…9c58backed Under | 47c | 1,380$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a9…2b1cbacked Under | 47c | 1,380$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45ea…0e17backed Under | 47c | 1,380$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73ca…f5ddbacked Under | 47c | 1,380$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x925c…4536backed Under | 47c | 1,380$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…90f6backed Under | 47c | 1,380$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd10…1c66backed Under | 47c | 1,380$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 55c | 1,001$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.65 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1969…a09cbacked Under | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 55c | 670$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.5 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Over | 55c | 659.89$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.05 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 47c | 635.6$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.87 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Under | 45c | 568.81$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.85 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 45c | 537.45$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.69 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 45c | 444$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.2 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 55c | 352.73$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 66c | 246$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.47 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 8c | 198$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95d0…04d6backed Over | 55c | 178$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 45c | 118$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 55c | 93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…2024backed Over | 68c | 55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 28c | 51.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Over | 54c | 46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 54c | 45.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 45c | 40.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 53c | 37.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aee…065cbacked Over | 56c | 32.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 45c | 31.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 254 | 35.4%90 W · 164 L | -22.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 54 | 72.2%39 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4d…111fbacked Over | 55c | 27.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3945…7077backed Over | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 55c | 23.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 77c | 14.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kraken vs. Devils: O/U 5.5this page
- Kraken vs. DevilsDevils won
- Kraken vs. Devils: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)Kraken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.