NBA · resolved market

Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4810455c6d45f9ebd2c38820442f176438b1ec46372147efbeee27161e4b179

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Jazzof Timberwolves, Jazz
Resolved: Jan 21, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $187,480
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $188,130

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,480 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6e82…752cbacked Timberwolves	52c	43,736$22,568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,567.81	1,204	55.3%666 W · 538 L	+52.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Timberwolves	56c	38,571$21,529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,529.23	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Timberwolves	51c	25,806$13,093 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,092.54	382	53.4%204 W · 178 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz	46c	24,254$11,207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,047.14	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Jazz	48c	18,755$9,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,755.76	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Jazz	46c	18,114$8,268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,846.43	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5227…f9bdbacked Timberwolves	55c	17,921$9,898 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,898.48	102	52.9%54 W · 48 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Jazz	44c	16,711$7,353 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,358.28	524	60.1%315 W · 209 L	+35.6wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Jazz	51c	12,404$6,374 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,029.75	257	53.7%138 W · 119 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe56d…2b65backed Jazz	45c	8,013$3,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,413.02	75	52%39 W · 36 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Jazz	48c	7,011$3,365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,645.85	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf35…b5eabacked Jazz	52c	6,767$3,519 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,248.13	132	39.4%52 W · 80 L	-8.7wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Timberwolves	52c	6,300$3,276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,275.99	584	49.7%290 W · 294 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked Jazz	48c	4,415$2,119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,295.58	140	61.4%86 W · 54 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Timberwolves	52c	4,408$2,292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,292.3	453	48.1%218 W · 235 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x137b…b72fbacked Jazz	44c	4,340$1,910 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,430.33	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.31per pick	56cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jazz	44c	4,313$1,899 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,413.82	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz	42c	3,926$1,651 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,275.52	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Timberwolves	56c	3,500$1,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,960	433	48.5%210 W · 223 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Jazz	48c	3,125$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,625	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Jazz	48c	3,093$1,485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,608.36	583	47%274 W · 309 L	-12.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Jazz	48c	3,045$1,462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,583.4	354	50.8%180 W · 174 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Timberwolves	59c	3,000$1,769 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,768.69	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz	45c	2,943$1,315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,627.9	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Jazz	48c	2,352$1,129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,223.08	121	51.2%62 W · 59 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb48f…d015backed Jazz	48c	2,304$1,106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,198.17	124	54.8%68 W · 56 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Timberwolves	57c	1,800$1,026 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,026	117	50.4%59 W · 58 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f72…0841backed Jazz	42c	1,634$685 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$948.9	102	55.9%57 W · 45 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3d…4ab1backed Timberwolves	54c	1,431$773 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$773	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-3.4wins	-0.26per pick	50cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4e1c…2b46backed Jazz	46c	1,431$658 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$773	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04c0…0927backed Jazz	45c	1,111$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$611.11	188	52.7%99 W · 89 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Jazz	44c	1,024$451 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$573.46	375	57.6%216 W · 159 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed Timberwolves	47c	1,000$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470	111	37.8%42 W · 69 L	-14.2wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-28%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x7634…1b96backed Timberwolves	58c	977.59$567 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$567	240	51.3%123 W · 117 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Timberwolves	57c	977.19$557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$557	153	55.6%85 W · 68 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x162f…585abacked Timberwolves	53c	924.71$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490.5	89	61.8%55 W · 34 L	+8.2wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Timberwolves	48c	861.19$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$413.37	511	46.6%238 W · 273 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdac9…56e7backed Jazz	48c	847.92$407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$440.92	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Timberwolves	52c	826.75$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$429.91	267	55.8%149 W · 118 L	+12.9wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves	60c	814$484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$484.49	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Jazz	48c	805.9$383 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$422.9	183	43.7%80 W · 103 L	-11.0wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x57e4…a2e8backed Jazz	69c	800$552 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-3.8wins	-0.19per pick	34cpaid	-61.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Jazz	47c	730$342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$388.02	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Timberwolves	33c	682.4$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.93	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jazz	48c	606$293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312.6	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Jazz	48c	593.52$284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$309.55	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Jazz	44c	568.18$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318.18	503	47.9%241 W · 262 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Jazz	41c	560.98$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$330.98	660	46.8%309 W · 351 L	-16.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jazz	48c	547.5$261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$286.5	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Timberwolves	56c	530$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.8	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Jazz	66c	500$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cbf…82abbacked Jazz	46c	456.52$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$246.52	169	45.6%77 W · 92 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Jazz	48c	416.67$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.67	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c1b…de64backed Timberwolves	59c	377.29$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.6	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.18per pick	61cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Jazz	48c	371.45$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193.15	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Jazz	51c	351$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.17	193	50.3%97 W · 96 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Timberwolves	57c	350.88$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	478	56.5%270 W · 208 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5b…a569backed Jazz	48c	333.33$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.33	238	47.1%112 W · 126 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Timberwolves	57c	319.35$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.03	572	50%286 W · 286 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd2c5…2dc6backed Timberwolves	59c	313.68$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.07	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Timberwolves	48c	300$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda12…38d6backed Timberwolves	53c	281.5$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.2	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-2.1wins	-0.09per pick	57cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Jazz	45c	279.9$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.55	73	41.1%30 W · 43 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Timberwolves	48c	279.17$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134	623	47.5%296 W · 327 L	-17.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Timberwolves	54c	277.78$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed Jazz	47c	275.31$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.31	111	59.5%66 W · 45 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Jazz	45c	268.59$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.73	1,264	45.8%579 W · 685 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Jazz	44c	258$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.48	323	46.4%150 W · 173 L	-8.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb21f…f241backed Jazz	41c	253.65$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.65	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.12per pick	55cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c0…c649backed Jazz	41c	253.39$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.5	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+2.0wins	+0.23per pick	55cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1b0…6a6bbacked Jazz	41c	253.27$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.43	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d8c…99a0backed Jazz	41c	252.72$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.1	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe79…7be4backed Jazz	41c	250.5$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.79	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+37.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f44…c975backed Jazz	41c	247.15$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.82	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.18per pick	46cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde46…a7afbacked Jazz	41c	243.9$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.9	50	54%27 W · 23 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Jazz	48c	230.44$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.83	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Jazz	46c	221.61$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.89	1,911	45.4%868 W · 1,043 L	+22.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Jazz	43c	221.32$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.15	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed Timberwolves	54c	216.85$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.95	153	48.4%74 W · 79 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Jazz	48c	200$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104	955	48.5%463 W · 492 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Timberwolves	57c	200$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	701	53.5%375 W · 326 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19a0…ac39backed Jazz	44c	200$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112	147	51%75 W · 72 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7aed…38cbbacked Timberwolves	54c	200$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	106	52.8%56 W · 50 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Timberwolves	52c	189.45$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.51	668	53.4%357 W · 311 L	+22.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Jazz	48c	187.5$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.5	334	42.8%143 W · 191 L	-17.9wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-13%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6dbc…18a0backed Jazz	54c	185.78$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.78	156	50.6%79 W · 77 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Timberwolves	53c	179.32$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.04	1,085	63.6%690 W · 395 L	+86.7wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+13%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x24a2…0a6abacked Timberwolves	56c	177.89$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	47	53.2%25 W · 22 L	+2.7wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd90e…9f65backed Timberwolves	59c	177.15$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.52	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked Timberwolves	57c	175.44$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	151	61.6%93 W · 58 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	65cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Jazz	50c	175$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.4	1,695	44.7%758 W · 937 L	-30.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1c4…3f5dbacked Timberwolves	59c	174.84$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.16	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xceb2…36aabacked Timberwolves	59c	173.9$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.6	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4edf…4774backed Timberwolves	59c	171.46$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.16	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.29per pick	49cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Jazz	44c	158.72$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.31	205	36.6%75 W · 130 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75fd…9a86backed Jazz	48c	154.25$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.21	160	36.3%58 W · 102 L	-15.0wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Jazz	53c	150.94$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.94	818	45.7%374 W · 444 L	+9.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bb6…735cbacked Timberwolves	53c	136.6$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.07	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Jazz	50c	135$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.4	888	45.7%406 W · 482 L	-12.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf6b…9431backed Jazz	45c	132.68$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.97	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)this page
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 26.5No won
Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)Jazz won
Spread: Timberwolves (-13.5)Jazz won
Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)Jazz won
Timberwolves vs. JazzJazz won
Timberwolves vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineJazz won
Timberwolves vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
Timberwolves vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5Over won
Timberwolves vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event