NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb5d3478a0aaaf6bc9bc41d6d2812979e4fa8e70a08e45be9ce012043bd7386c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 48c | 2,768$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.14 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 52c | 2,083$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.33 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 1,475$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.92 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Under | 52c | 1,058$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 60c | 904.36$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 746$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.54 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Under | 52c | 475.73$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.38 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Over | 49c | 139$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.35 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a49…f879backed Over | 51c | 109.8$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e57…2bf6backed Over | 49c | 101.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x874e…9bcabacked Over | 48c | 95.16$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…7b0bbacked Over | 37c | 57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 345 | 56.2%194 W · 151 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 48c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Under | 49c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…91c0backed Under | 52c | 34.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 50c | 28.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8d…32ddbacked Under | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…0dcabacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5this page
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-13.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)Jazz won
- Timberwolves vs. JazzJazz won
- Timberwolves vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Timberwolves vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.