NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x038deaac1f54332ee52fb6ebc1d3704e0412e99113bab59cbc0e58bd7ad58595
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f82…9b01backed Over | 53c | 8,725$4,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,101.05 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 47c | 6,825$3,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,207.7 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 55c | 6,177$3,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,396.81 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 48c | 5,696$2,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940.88 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Under | 50c | 5,084$2,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,541.79 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Over | 47c | 5,037$2,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,669.54 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 480 | 54.2%260 W · 220 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 61c | 4,185$2,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,541.68 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Under | 3c | 4,166$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.98 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Under | 1c | 3,423$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…8237backed Over | 52c | 2,877$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5a…8100backed Under | 48c | 2,877$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…b3edbacked Under | 32c | 2,438$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.31 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 2,300$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.07 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 40c | 2,133$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.72 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 56c | 1,858$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.17 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 48c | 1,623$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.93 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 46c | 1,500$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 63c | 1,410$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.14 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb252…56febacked Over | 63c | 1,292$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.1 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Over | 45c | 1,233$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.19 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 37c | 1,033$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.13 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd36a…ecf5backed Under | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Under | 54c | 979.7$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.04 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea2…9ad4backed Over | 53c | 943.96$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.96 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Under | 63c | 799.34$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 49c | 600$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Over | 47c | 520.58$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.2 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 5c | 494.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 37c | 440.71$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.65 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Under | 49c | 344$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.31 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 48c | 325.13$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.37 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Under | 52c | 316$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.32 | 136 | 38.2%52 W · 84 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 38c | 299.72$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.83 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 51c | 287$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 50c | 279.96$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.08 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 42c | 275.02$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.51 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f3…0d57backed Over | 53c | 269.81$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.81 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Under | 48c | 245$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 53c | 232.55$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.3 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 170 | 35.9%61 W · 109 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe711…3dd2backed Under | 53c | 189.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 183.89$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.32 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 182.2$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.82 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 47c | 178.61$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.95 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Under | 62c | 162.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 626 | 52.2%327 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 42c | 159$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.83 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc432…27aabacked Under | 50c | 151$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked Over | 47c | 144.68$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.68 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 48c | 135$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Over | 37c | 125$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 187 | 43.3%81 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…0758backed Over | 72c | 121.73$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.66 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…e82ebacked Under | 64c | 110$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.1 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 448 | 21.4%96 W · 352 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…fd21backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 140 | 36.4%51 W · 89 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…7b0bbacked Under | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 42c | 96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.73 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Over | 54c | 93.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.06 | 180 | 31.7%57 W · 123 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Under | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 63c | 87.73$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Under | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Under | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…cea7backed Over | 47c | 72.3$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.32 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e91…3e2abacked Under | 49c | 68.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…48b7backed Under | 51c | 64.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…53d6backed Over | 52c | 64.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.76 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 47c | 54.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 63c | 53.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f1…a137backed Under | 46c | 51.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x213a…c46dbacked Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f9…4375backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4485…912cbacked Over | 52c | 49.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Under | 59c | 45.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 243 | 63.8%155 W · 88 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6870…5826backed Under | 51c | 44.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 548 | 53.8%295 W · 253 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x614f…114dbacked Under | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 335 | 47.2%158 W · 177 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 48c | 30.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfd…920fbacked Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 44c | 29.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9860…33b4backed Under | 48c | 29.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8476backed Over | 64c | 29.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 61c | 24.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 23.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Under | 53c | 23.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbff8…7073backed Under | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43af…da96backed Under | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…7d4cbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8023…332abacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Over | 72c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 166 | 69.9%116 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5this page
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-13.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)Jazz won
- Timberwolves vs. JazzJazz won
- Timberwolves vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Timberwolves vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.