NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2ebb1b3f901eb86d5c622441bf3d13f7614a901370c9934cc380702ac8f04c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jazzof Timberwolves, Jazz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $326,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $327,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $326,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Timberwolves | 52c | 207,254$107,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107,771.96 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Jazz | 48c | 200,000$96,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,000 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Timberwolves | 58c | 35,434$20,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,433.98 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Jazz | 44c | 32,093$14,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,983.67 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5227…f9bdbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 15,854$8,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,213.3 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…7135backed Timberwolves | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 212 | 50.5%107 W · 105 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Jazz | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,799.99 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jazz | 45c | 13,846$6,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,568.02 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Jazz | 48c | 6,767$3,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,522.2 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Jazz | 50c | 5,842$2,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,898.2 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Jazz | 50c | 5,816$2,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,908.04 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Timberwolves | 56c | 5,690$3,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,171.32 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Timberwolves | 54c | 5,238$2,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,840.38 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7caf…058bbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 5,050$2,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,626 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Timberwolves | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0500…6158backed Jazz | 50c | 3,924$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,962 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Jazz | 47c | 2,800$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.11 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Timberwolves | 52c | 2,252$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.94 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz | 47c | 2,177$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.36 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Jazz | 50c | 1,860$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.6 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Jazz | 50c | 1,170$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Jazz | 50c | 1,020$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed Jazz | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Jazz | 43c | 937$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.09 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Jazz | 44c | 680$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.75 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Jazz | 50c | 660$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Jazz | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Timberwolves | 28c | 600.04$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.19 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Timberwolves | 52c | 598.63$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.61 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +8.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Jazz | 47c | 493.32$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.46 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Timberwolves | 35c | 438.93$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.63 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 432$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.92 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Jazz | 44c | 430.75$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.22 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Jazz | 49c | 425.18$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.84 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Jazz | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…3438backed Jazz | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Jazz | 48c | 373.39$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.16 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Timberwolves | 53c | 350$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.5 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jazz | 48c | 308.94$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.65 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jazz | 44c | 301.63$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.93 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Jazz | 50c | 260$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Jazz | 48c | 209.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Jazz | 50c | 202.76$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.02 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Jazz | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 243 | 32.9%80 W · 163 L | -22.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Jazz | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Jazz | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Jazz | 50c | 198.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.37 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Timberwolves | 18c | 195$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1307…608cbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…dfcebacked Jazz | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Timberwolves | 53c | 181.13$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda12…38d6backed Timberwolves | 52c | 178.7$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.01 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 53c | 163.46$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.53 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cf…058dbacked Jazz | 49c | 149.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.99 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Jazz | 49c | 145.96$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.44 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Jazz | 46c | 141.59$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.47 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Timberwolves | 51c | 124.28$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.38 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Timberwolves | 52c | 112.77$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.34 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Jazz | 47c | 99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.47 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 98.85$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.39 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5d…014bbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 98.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.09 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f32…483dbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…735cbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 89.32$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b58…7061backed Timberwolves | 54c | 85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Jazz | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 479 | 48.6%233 W · 246 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Timberwolves | 53c | 78.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Jazz | 50c | 78.3$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…cea7backed Jazz | 44c | 72.04$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.34 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Timberwolves | 53c | 64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Timberwolves | 53c | 58.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb15d…d581backed Timberwolves | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Timberwolves | 56c | 56.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Timberwolves | 35c | 55.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cc…535abacked Timberwolves | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Timberwolves | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6c…fe22backed Timberwolves | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Timberwolves | 56c | 46.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…b497backed Jazz | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Jazz | 49c | 40.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 40.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8677…4d2cbacked Jazz | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee82…1965backed Jazz | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +10.1wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…68f6backed Timberwolves | 53c | 36.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…3acebacked Timberwolves | 53c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f7…2633backed Timberwolves | 52c | 33.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Timberwolves | 52c | 32.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0f9bbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 30.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa68d…e03bbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Jazz | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 599 | 48.4%290 W · 309 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Jazz | 44c | 26.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Jazz | 50c | 23.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 307 | 43%132 W · 175 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Timberwolves | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…5537backed Timberwolves | 54c | 22.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Jazz | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7612…b2dcbacked Jazz | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbd…6ffebacked Jazz | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)this page
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-13.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)Jazz won
- Timberwolves vs. JazzJazz won
- Timberwolves vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Timberwolves vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.