NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9a7bc6a6ad7b806f319f2bcd1e0ef66d3b197e2814eda9b220eef396bc2cd96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 52c | 27,545$14,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,254.36 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 16,131$7,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,344.29 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 49c | 13,565$6,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,972.04 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 46c | 9,267$4,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,003.75 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 51c | 7,882$4,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,019.82 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…7ecebacked Under | 54c | 7,808$4,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,216.32 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 2,272$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.62 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb252…56febacked Over | 54c | 1,598$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.08 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 48c | 1,109$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.42 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…b0b3backed Over | 45c | 1,020$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 63c | 932.11$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.58 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 59c | 928.31$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.21 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Over | 47c | 460$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.8 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 54c | 398.46$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.54 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 45c | 266$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.04 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 244.55$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.94 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9932…f309backed Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9371…3aecbacked Over | 47c | 198.28$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.09 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9280…99b4backed Over | 65c | 136.45$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.83 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 47c | 120.33$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.13 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 71c | 120$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.91 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca5…85edbacked Over | 46c | 105$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.85 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 40c | 88.84$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.22 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 45c | 85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.75 | 274 | 63.5%174 W · 100 L | +34.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 41c | 83.26$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Under | 53c | 78.82$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 48c | 70.68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 52c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Over | 46c | 57.36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 54c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.25 | 192 | 32.8%63 W · 129 L | -18.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe56a…9ef1backed Under | 63c | 52.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 48c | 50.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…0bb5backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c48…7d6fbacked Under | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…7b0bbacked Over | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca44…6686backed Over | 47c | 38.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +131.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a3…8593backed Under | 58c | 34.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e91…ffdfbacked Under | 57c | 33.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Over | 46c | 31.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Under | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 48c | 25.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1374…867fbacked Under | 59c | 25.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…fa40backed Over | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x181c…7671backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked Over | 59c | 24.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -6.1wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 54c | 22.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…5ca7backed Under | 59c | 21.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 56c | 20.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…9bc1backed Over | 78c | 19.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf400…1620backed Under | 79c | 13.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Timberwolves vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5this page
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Lauri Markkanen: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Lauri Markkanen: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-13.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-14.5)Jazz won
- Timberwolves vs. JazzJazz won
- Timberwolves vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Timberwolves vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 116.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Timberwolves vs. Jazz: O/U 238.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5Over won
- Timberwolves vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.