TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc091…3d42

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,327
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NFL, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 59 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT72248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 722 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Valley Wolverinesbacked California Baptist Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+89.9%+$25.27
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-5.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.04
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogsbacked Kennesaw State Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$129.05
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: O/U 137.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$64.43
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-7.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+95.2%+$142.11
Connecticut Huskies vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,249.59
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-4.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+98.7%+$74.55
Houston Cougars vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 153.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+87.1%+$69.96
Houston Cougars vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$843Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$842.59
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Wichita State Shockersbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.66
Spread: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-2.5)backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.25
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-9.5)backed Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.27
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-9.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.72
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)backed UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$69.59
Charlotte 49ers vs. South Florida Bulls: O/U 151.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+97.8%+$78.31
Spread: South Florida Bulls (-13.5)backed Charlotte 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.38
Penn Quakers vs. Harvard Crimsonbacked Harvard Crimson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.19
Dayton Flyers vs. Saint Louis Billikensbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.93
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.32
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Florida Gators: O/U 160.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.4
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+122.8%+$151.33
Spread: San Diego State Aztecs (-2.5)backed New Mexico Lobos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$101.23
New Mexico Lobos vs. San Diego State Aztecsbacked San Diego State Aztecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$104.88
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$178.79
Spread: Utah State Aggies (-9.5)backed Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$64.71
Showing 25 of 722 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT54351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 543 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,995Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,995.29
Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+96%+$147.94
Nuggets vs. Lakersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,652Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,652.36
Nuggets vs. Lakers: O/U 245.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$74.46
Nuggets vs. Lakers: O/U 241.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$78.5
Magic vs. Heat: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$63
Magic vs. Heat: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.01
Hornets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$860Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$386.38
Hornets vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$62.72
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.37
Hornets vs. Spurs: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$67.62
Bucks vs. Hawks: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.5
Spread: 76ers (-14.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.03
Nets vs. 76ers: O/U 190.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.18
Bulls vs. Clippers: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$77.5
Bulls vs. Clippers: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.56
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.3
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,900Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$1,023.08
Spread: Trail Blazers (-15.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$65
Spread: Trail Blazers (-14.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$64.8
Pelicans vs. Rockets: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$64
Spread: Rockets (-7.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$9.56
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+77.9%+$237.32
Spread: Knicks (-13.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.56
Cavaliers vs. Mavericks: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.19
Showing 25 of 543 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT3850%19 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.78
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,140
LoL: G2 NORD vs Witchcraft (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Dbacked Witchcraft · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$860Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$860
LoL: G2 NORD vs Witchcraft - Game 2 Winnerbacked Witchcraft · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+41.1%+$178.2
LoL: FN Esports vs Team Phantasma (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Hbacked FN Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,240
LoL: RED Canids vs Sentinels (BO3) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14,353Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14,353.25
LoL: Cloud9 vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - Americas Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,925Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+51.5%+$991.67
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$863Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$303.22
LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$242
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+84.8%+$1,060.4
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+155.2%+$1,552.5
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 4 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+155.4%+$932.16
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$910Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+284.6%+$2,590
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,132
LoL: Sentinels vs LYON - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
LoL: Sentinels vs LYON - Game 4 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
LoL: Sentinels vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$64.08
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,900Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+53.8%+$1,023.08
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+118%+$1,179.95
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,045Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+50%+$522.26
LoL: GIANTX vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+25%+$1,040
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,767Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+61.3%+$1,083
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,349.97
LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,196Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+112.8%+$3,603.98
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$510.71
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$9,541Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$9,540.92
Counter-Strike: paiN vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$3,800
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,700
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+33.6%+$1,109.8
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,142
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+138.7%+$693.6
Counter-Strike: SemperFi Esports vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed SemperFi Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$119.43
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$358
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$855Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+163.1%+$1,394.21
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.41per pick42cpaid+80.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+100%+$250
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$79.69
Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+92.3%+$288
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+66.7%+$1,333.33
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+212.5%+$2,125
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$5,638.3
All 6 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$155.98
UFC 325: Dan Hooker vs. Benoit Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$141.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO2) - DreamLeague Stage 1 Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+35.1%+$49.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Alex Michelsenbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$5,981Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$1,879.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$5,000
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$2,500
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.