Lol · resolved market
LoL: G2 NORD vs Witchcraft - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0286524bb198194b092bd3f5d81384a3278b3ee8b563a6e180d38b935e16c2b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Witchcraftof G2 NORD, Witchcraft
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $268,862
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $268,862 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x910d…cfc0backed G2 NORD | 67c | 32,486$21,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,775.96 | 184 | 51.6%95 W · 89 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Witchcraft | 35c | 15,415$5,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,094.45 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…2d9dbacked G2 NORD | 0c | 12,980$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed Witchcraft | 70c | 11,570$8,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,429.36 | 481 | 57.6%277 W · 204 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33c…4c38backed Witchcraft | 43c | 11,341$4,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,507.71 | 240 | 65%156 W · 84 L | +24.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd872…7fd5backed G2 NORD | 1c | 8,650$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed G2 NORD | 6c | 8,276$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.3 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed G2 NORD | 44c | 7,756$3,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,408.81 | 283 | 61.5%174 W · 109 L | +18.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Witchcraft | 61c | 5,573$3,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175.63 | 356 | 48.9%174 W · 182 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed G2 NORD | 4c | 5,555$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.14 | 377 | 5.6%21 W · 356 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Witchcraft | 39c | 3,362$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.64 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Witchcraft | 20c | 3,151$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,522.51 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb616…b9a1backed G2 NORD | 9c | 3,042$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.91 | 276 | 38.4%106 W · 170 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked G2 NORD | 36c | 2,548$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.58 | 2,012 | 58.1%1,168 W · 844 L | +84.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2d…dd1ebacked G2 NORD | 7c | 2,140$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.94 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05c…66b9backed G2 NORD | 2c | 2,076$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf42…725ebacked G2 NORD | 1c | 2,029$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 23cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked G2 NORD | 16c | 2,007$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.75 | 2,330 | 39.4%919 W · 1,411 L | -83.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…85e4backed G2 NORD | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x431c…12ecbacked G2 NORD | 50c | 1,992$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…5ea8backed Witchcraft | 33c | 1,959$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.42 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed G2 NORD | 71c | 1,949$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,388.67 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c5…6394backed G2 NORD | 1c | 1,498$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 90 | 25.6%23 W · 67 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8f…6353backed Witchcraft | 14c | 1,400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked G2 NORD | 62c | 1,357$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.18 | 1,300 | 45.2%587 W · 713 L | +50.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed Witchcraft | 54c | 1,300$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.3 | 509 | 45.8%233 W · 276 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Witchcraft | 26c | 1,228$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.21 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed Witchcraft | 69c | 1,174$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.94 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed G2 NORD | 44c | 1,100$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2b…13cbbacked Witchcraft | 47c | 1,063$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…0b70backed Witchcraft | 44c | 1,042$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.59 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f5…1700backed G2 NORD | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…71e9backed G2 NORD | 76c | 989.23$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Witchcraft | 47c | 972.33$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.65 | 2,910 | 38.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L | -120.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d51…d971backed Witchcraft | 30c | 928.64$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.03 | 674 | 57.3%386 W · 288 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ed…2c6dbacked G2 NORD | 1c | 900$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Witchcraft | 39c | 868$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.48 | 198 | 30.8%61 W · 137 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed G2 NORD | 47c | 846.13$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.7 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Witchcraft | 64c | 781$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.16 | 1,310 | 55.8%731 W · 579 L | +43.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7ec8backed Witchcraft | 69c | 723.12$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.77 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Witchcraft | 33c | 688.02$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.32 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed G2 NORD | 50c | 680.73$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.25 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Witchcraft | 33c | 678.83$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.57 | 392 | 46.4%182 W · 210 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked G2 NORD | 34c | 637.55$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.5 | 2,707 | 35.9%972 W · 1,735 L | -152.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…fd67backed Witchcraft | 49c | 613$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.13 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Witchcraft | 71c | 612.2$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.2 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked G2 NORD | 30c | 546.81$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.47 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Witchcraft | 56c | 539.68$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.88 | 1,492 | 48.4%722 W · 770 L | +47.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…1135backed G2 NORD | 34c | 505$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.65 | 440 | 42%185 W · 255 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7424…ce06backed Witchcraft | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed G2 NORD | 63c | 499.99$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.99 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Witchcraft | 35c | 459.27$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298 | 1,571 | 55.1%866 W · 705 L | +80.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…9c6ebacked Witchcraft | 30c | 455.63$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.94 | 104 | 22.1%23 W · 81 L | -14.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa07a…c3debacked G2 NORD | 55c | 450$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed G2 NORD | 20c | 449.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.81 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed G2 NORD | 33c | 423.63$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.8 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Witchcraft | 58c | 400$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Witchcraft | 67c | 400$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 1,525 | 50.6%771 W · 754 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…fe01backed Witchcraft | 63c | 396.13$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.16 | 362 | 60.5%219 W · 143 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee36…bebebacked Witchcraft | 27c | 390$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.4 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked G2 NORD | 44c | 387.81$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.11 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Witchcraft | 29c | 367.83$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.54 | 1,603 | 42.4%679 W · 924 L | -18.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Witchcraft | 64c | 358.56$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.08 | 1,246 | 52.6%656 W · 590 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked G2 NORD | 57c | 338$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.66 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d19…296ebacked G2 NORD | 47c | 321.03$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 353 | 46.2%163 W · 190 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Witchcraft | 68c | 310$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 600 | 53.2%319 W · 281 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed G2 NORD | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 525 | 38.9%204 W · 321 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Witchcraft | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Witchcraft | 20c | 275$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 1,675 | 59.3%993 W · 682 L | +96.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked G2 NORD | 9c | 274.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd5…8f67backed Witchcraft | 71c | 272.79$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.79 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…d962backed G2 NORD | 40c | 267.16$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.99 | 791 | 51.8%410 W · 381 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Witchcraft | 31c | 258.06$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.06 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed Witchcraft | 34c | 250$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.5 | 864 | 51.4%444 W · 420 L | +52.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf26b…f3b8backed Witchcraft | 13c | 237.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.15 | 298 | 23.8%71 W · 227 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…c148backed Witchcraft | 19c | 221$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.32 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked G2 NORD | 33c | 220.37$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 402 | 37.8%152 W · 250 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Witchcraft | 34c | 212.51$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.41 | 1,270 | 57%724 W · 546 L | +45.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed G2 NORD | 59c | 207.54$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.25 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75d9…6e84backed Witchcraft | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Witchcraft | 53c | 198.25$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.78 | 669 | 47.8%320 W · 349 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed G2 NORD | 53c | 187.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -6.8wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3a…a2aabacked G2 NORD | 38c | 181.41$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…1483backed Witchcraft | 55c | 181.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed G2 NORD | 46c | 168.96$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.97 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Witchcraft | 36c | 163.57$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.77 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd1…17ccbacked Witchcraft | 63c | 149.74$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 601 | 24.1%145 W · 456 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed G2 NORD | 30c | 131.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Witchcraft | 33c | 130.65$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 2,364 | 40.7%963 W · 1,401 L | -57.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed G2 NORD | 58c | 130.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.45 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed G2 NORD | 37c | 116.9$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked G2 NORD | 55c | 113.5$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.18 | 1,008 | 42.5%428 W · 580 L | -24.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Witchcraft | 46c | 110.83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.67 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…d1ffbacked Witchcraft | 63c | 108.11$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked G2 NORD | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7184…c793backed Witchcraft | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked G2 NORD | 60c | 98.33$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1,189 | 48.1%572 W · 617 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a83…c494backed Witchcraft | 26c | 97.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 22cpaid | +160.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Witchcraft | 24c | 88.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.53 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Witchcraft | 33c | 86.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.77 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: G2 NORD vs Witchcraft - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: WT (-1.5) vs G2 NORD (+1.5)G2 NORD won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: G2 NORD vs Witchcraft (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group DG2 NORD won
- LoL: G2 NORD vs Witchcraft - Game 1 WinnerG2 NORD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.