TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee36…bebe

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
157
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 59 out of 100; worst Tennis at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT6827.9%19 W · 49 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sergio Ramos attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Mohammed bin Salman attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.78
Will Jose Mourinho attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+327%+$263.2
Will Lamine Yamal score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Will Lamine Yamal score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.56
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$33.88
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.76
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$65.01
Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.7
Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$82.35
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+135%+$252.8
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.38
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 1 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$24.8
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 1 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 0 Paraguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 1 Canada?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$86
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT2832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$15.6
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.2
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-Inbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+147.2%+$65.49
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$23.4
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs INTZ e-Sports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked Vivo Keyd Stars Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.11
LoL: RMD Gaming vs Ei Nerd Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked RMD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.01
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.4
LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Heretics - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.8
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+149.6%+$71.92
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.18
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+187.4%+$84.76
Will JD Gaming win First Stand 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will BNK FEARX win First Stand 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 3 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.2
LoL: LYON vs LOUD - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.3
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+53.7%+$53.6
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+115%+$49.2
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.44
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.3
LoL: G2 NORD vs Witchcraft (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Dbacked Witchcraft · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.6
LoL: G2 NORD vs Witchcraft - Game 2 Winnerbacked Witchcraft · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+265.9%+$283.4
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-45.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.2
Will Iran strike Jordan in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$79.35
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$47.56
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by March 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+56.3%+$16.88
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick34cpaid-76.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Nick Kyrgios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.7
Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.48
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.3
Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.5
Roland Garros ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Thanasi Kokkinakis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Roman Safiullinbacked Roman Safiullin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Roland Garros ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Terence Atmanebacked Thanasi Kokkinakis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+187.2%+$187.23
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.8
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$24
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+152.2%+$36.54
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
FIFA Club World Cup: Chelsea vs. PSG – To Lift Trophy backed Chelsea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+203%+$32.48
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.41per pick42cpaid+116.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+84.7%+$32.1
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-8.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8.95
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.25
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-9.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$12.6
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+476%+$198.11
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-5.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.92
All 6 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Greens win over 15% of vote in German election? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$20.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick75cpaid+34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$25.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New Zealand win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.