TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: RMD Gaming vs Ei Nerd Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ei Nerd Esportsof RMD Gaming, Ei Nerd Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,683
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,568

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,683 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xef26…05babacked RMD Gaming47c4,665$2,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,181.151,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Ei Nerd Esports73c2,612$1,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71319053.2%101 W · 89 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadd4…15c2backed RMD Gaming26c1,928$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.4326443.6%115 W · 149 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed RMD Gaming30c1,836$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.367931.8%216 W · 463 L-31.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Ei Nerd Esports67c1,817$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.891,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cc0…6139backed RMD Gaming29c1,784$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.8235346.7%165 W · 188 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11e1…8d38backed RMD Gaming31c1,753$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.8927254.4%148 W · 124 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Ei Nerd Esports55c1,600$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.991,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3333…3c23backed Ei Nerd Esports51c1,339$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.1628042.5%119 W · 161 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6aa7…db93backed Ei Nerd Esports58c1,199$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.4923674.6%176 W · 60 L+17.9wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+10.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed RMD Gaming38c1,179$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.711111.7%13 W · 98 L-17.1wins-0.15per pick27cpaid-78.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed RMD Gaming39c1,169$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.092,90538.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L-118.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked RMD Gaming22c1,117$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.761,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x828b…a13fbacked RMD Gaming35c1,105$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.5710450%52 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Ei Nerd Esports60c1,060$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.071,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed RMD Gaming38c1,045$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.461,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked RMD Gaming42c917.66$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.126448.5%128 W · 136 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed RMD Gaming47c892.75$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.1699338.6%383 W · 610 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e23…761dbacked Ei Nerd Esports47c843.41$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.3220537.6%77 W · 128 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fef…8c79backed RMD Gaming62c811.18$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.526246.9%123 W · 139 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4162…0d18backed Ei Nerd Esports64c789.92$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.82147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed RMD Gaming45c760.06$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.311,02539.6%406 W · 619 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked RMD Gaming41c628.99$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.8856341%231 W · 332 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked Ei Nerd Esports48c598.2$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.4283560.8%508 W · 327 L+45.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4df2…d357backed Ei Nerd Esports57c588.93$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.8140959.2%242 W · 167 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c07…5feabacked Ei Nerd Esports68c579.41$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.5316555.2%91 W · 74 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Ei Nerd Esports73c565.76$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.0923649.2%116 W · 120 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eb4…6884backed RMD Gaming38c504.02$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.184022.5%9 W · 31 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-38.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Ei Nerd Esports66c489.8$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.531,15568.1%786 W · 369 L+35.1wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Ei Nerd Esports63c461.76$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.8478043.1%336 W · 444 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked Ei Nerd Esports52c453.44$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.131,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked RMD Gaming64c435.5$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.771,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69e6…b9f9backed Ei Nerd Esports66c429.64$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.0462743.9%275 W · 352 L+16.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb515…cd6bbacked Ei Nerd Esports50c428.48$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.1112047.5%57 W · 63 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed Ei Nerd Esports45c424.26$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.3286251.3%442 W · 420 L+51.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x398d…b8d6backed Ei Nerd Esports53c418.33$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.7664451.2%330 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f6c…620bbacked Ei Nerd Esports69c411.11$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.3332566.5%216 W · 109 L+26.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Ei Nerd Esports55c408.06$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.3932542.2%137 W · 188 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Ei Nerd Esports62c407.64$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.454768.1%32 W · 15 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x07e4…116abacked RMD Gaming51c383.01$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.084744.7%21 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0960…5adcbacked Ei Nerd Esports53c367.94$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.612642.1%53 W · 73 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Ei Nerd Esports54c367.02$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.6746637.6%175 W · 291 L-19.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked Ei Nerd Esports50c351.21$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.6148652.1%253 W · 233 L+2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed RMD Gaming18c347.57$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.241,05823.5%249 W · 809 L-75.8wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-49.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked RMD Gaming45c336$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.362,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc221…fe97backed Ei Nerd Esports50c329.24$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.325154.9%28 W · 23 L+6.6wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+37.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9dcd…7e04backed Ei Nerd Esports60c319.99$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.413752.6%72 W · 65 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce12…814fbacked Ei Nerd Esports64c306.92$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.273268.8%22 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd166…666ebacked Ei Nerd Esports45c299.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.996965.2%45 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked RMD Gaming40c257.94$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.187160.6%43 W · 28 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92a9…0e78backed RMD Gaming18c253.83$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9138342.8%164 W · 219 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1018…7264backed RMD Gaming7c247.44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175616.1%9 W · 47 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-66%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed RMD Gaming36c244.81$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.0730731.6%97 W · 210 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-37.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8d0…f87ebacked RMD Gaming28c244.48$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3739940.4%161 W · 238 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ed5…8165backed Ei Nerd Esports52c241.6$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.3534844.8%156 W · 192 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x109b…935fbacked RMD Gaming42c229.81$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5228261%172 W · 110 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd507…a6ddbacked RMD Gaming41c218.06$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.130035%105 W · 195 L-21.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcbf0…4046backed RMD Gaming49c216.03$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8111361.9%70 W · 43 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Ei Nerd Esports69c215.46$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6533042.4%140 W · 190 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6af6…c777backed RMD Gaming61c214.79$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.22445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c38…a15abacked RMD Gaming42c213.8$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.428347%39 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd89c…2d1fbacked RMD Gaming45c213.6$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7218159.1%107 W · 74 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed RMD Gaming48c208.82$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.681,37248.6%667 W · 705 L+57.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb953…5393backed RMD Gaming47c204.58$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8457151.5%294 W · 277 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed Ei Nerd Esports48c204.2$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.2141945.1%189 W · 230 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4283…fbd4backed Ei Nerd Esports76c202.25$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.945041.1%185 W · 265 L-25.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd11d…5656backed RMD Gaming48c201.83$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8850647.2%239 W · 267 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c1…3e0bbacked RMD Gaming41c199.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8263646.9%298 W · 338 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked Ei Nerd Esports30c197.68$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.4423751.5%122 W · 115 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed RMD Gaming38c196.29$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.891,07926%281 W · 798 L-99.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-46.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe308…25cdbacked RMD Gaming50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9766437.2%247 W · 417 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28bc…efbebacked RMD Gaming46c186.31$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-66.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed RMD Gaming53c186.17$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6774344%327 W · 416 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed RMD Gaming32c180.83$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1944129.5%130 W · 311 L-45.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-48%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc4e9…a838backed RMD Gaming32c180.28$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.948051.3%41 W · 39 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bd7…8553backed RMD Gaming48c176.24$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9470057.3%401 W · 299 L+36.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Ei Nerd Esports75c171.51$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.991,63846.7%765 W · 873 L-26.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b82…a340backed RMD Gaming17c170.61$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.53138.7%12 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd371…7ea5backed Ei Nerd Esports50c168.78$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.392556%14 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e7c…c4c5backed RMD Gaming22c167.6$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2721267%142 W · 70 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked RMD Gaming41c166.55$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7860538.8%235 W · 370 L-1.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed RMD Gaming46c165.54$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.718038.9%70 W · 110 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Ei Nerd Esports59c165.32$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.781957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fcc…257abacked Ei Nerd Esports61c160.1$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.442365.2%15 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked RMD Gaming43c160$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.853649.8%267 W · 269 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee36…bebebacked RMD Gaming13c159.04$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.012832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Ei Nerd Esports62c157.69$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9792342.7%394 W · 529 L-16.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Ei Nerd Esports60c154.42$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3127248.9%133 W · 139 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98dc…e3f0backed RMD Gaming23c152.62$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4915360.1%92 W · 61 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed RMD Gaming11c151.22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.635248.1%25 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1019…d7cabacked RMD Gaming25c143.8$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.243946.2%18 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Ei Nerd Esports58c141.19$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.315747.8%75 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20b2…f114backed Ei Nerd Esports48c141.13$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.5227535.3%97 W · 178 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8e…156fbacked Ei Nerd Esports29c134.12$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.6415731.2%49 W · 108 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Ei Nerd Esports65c132.17$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5516240.7%66 W · 96 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed RMD Gaming39c131.58$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3231650.3%159 W · 157 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88a0…f673backed RMD Gaming40c129.18$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.67933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-44%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked RMD Gaming54c121.03$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.982,34140.3%943 W · 1,398 L-61.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed RMD Gaming37c120.24$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4430643.1%132 W · 174 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f68…3e9cbacked Ei Nerd Esports58c118.96$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.138236.6%30 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.